Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
34%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
6%YesNo
Kamala Harris
6%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
5%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
3%YesNo
Andy Beshear
3%YesNo
J.B. Pritzker
2%YesNo
Jon Stewart
2%YesNo
Mark Kelly
2%YesNo
Rahm Emanuel
2%YesNo
Wes Moore
2%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
2%YesNo
Ruben Gallego
2%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%YesNo
Ro Khanna
2%YesNo
Andrew Yang
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
John Fetterman
1%YesNo
Stephen A. Smith
1%YesNo
Oprah Winfrey
1%YesNo
Gina Raimondo
1%YesNo
Cory Booker
1%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Jared Polis
1%YesNo
Mark Cuban
1%YesNo
Phil Murphy
1%YesNo
Hunter Biden
1%YesNo
MrBeast
1%YesNo
Roy Cooper
1%YesNo
Raphael Warnock
1%YesNo
Barack Obama
1%YesNo
George Clooney
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Liz Cheney
1%YesNo
Beto O’Rourke
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Chelsea Clinton
1%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
1%YesNo
Chris Murphy
1%YesNo
Jasmine Crockett
1%YesNo
$568m Vol.elections
View details
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
93%YesNo
Rick Rieder
3%YesNo
Judy Shelton
2%YesNo
Kevin Hassett
1%YesNo
Christopher Waller
1%YesNo
Scott Bessent
0%YesNo
Michelle Bowman
0%YesNo
Bill Pulte
0%YesNo
David Malpass
0%YesNo
Howard Lutnick
0%YesNo
Arthur Laffer
0%YesNo
Larry Kudlow
0%YesNo
Jerome Powell
0%YesNo
Ron Paul
0%YesNo
Stephen Miran
0%YesNo
James Bullard
0%YesNo
Marc Sumerlin
0%YesNo
David Zervos
0%YesNo
Lorie K. Logan
0%YesNo
Philip Jefferson
0%YesNo
Janet Yellen
0%YesNo
Larry Lindsey
0%YesNo
Barron Trump
0%YesNo
Donald Trump
0%YesNo
No one nominated before 2027
0%YesNo
$308m Vol.politics
View details
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
27%YesNo
Gavin Newsom
20%YesNo
Marco Rubio
9%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
4%YesNo
Donald Trump
3%YesNo
Kamala Harris
3%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
2%YesNo
Andy Beshear
2%YesNo
JB Pritzker
2%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%YesNo
Wes Moore
1%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
1%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Jamie Dimon
1%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
Stephen Smith
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
$229m Vol.elections
View details
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
51%YesNo
Marco Rubio
16%YesNo
Donald Trump
4%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
3%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
2%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
2%YesNo
Marjorie Taylor Greene
2%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%YesNo
Ted Cruz
2%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
1%YesNo
Rand Paul
1%YesNo
Brian Kemp
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
John Thune
1%YesNo
Steve Bannon
1%YesNo
Byron Donalds
1%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Kristi Noem
1%YesNo
Josh Hawley
1%YesNo
Mike Pence
1%YesNo
Tom Brady
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%YesNo
Erika Kirk
1%YesNo
Katie Britt
1%YesNo
$226m Vol.elections
View details
Portugal Presidential Election
António José Seguro (IND)
99%YesNo
André Ventura (CH)
1%YesNo
João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
0%YesNo
Rui Moreira (IND)
0%YesNo
Paulo Portas (CDS)
0%YesNo
Catarina Martins (BE)
0%YesNo
Tim Vieira (IND)
0%YesNo
Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
0%YesNo
André Pestana (IND)
0%YesNo
Orlando Cruz (IND)
0%YesNo
Aristides Teixeira (IND)
0%YesNo
Manuela Magno (IND)
0%YesNo
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
0%YesNo
Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
0%YesNo
Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
0%YesNo
Vitorino Silva (IND)
0%YesNo
Ângela Maryah (IND)
0%YesNo
António Filipe (PCP)
0%YesNo
Raul Perestrello (IND)
0%YesNo
José Cardoso (PLS)
0%YesNo
Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
0%YesNo
Jorge Pinto
0%YesNo
$126m Vol.elections
View details
US strikes Iran by...?
June 30
71%YesNo
March 31
66%YesNo
February 28
56%YesNo
February 13
44%YesNo
February 6
30%YesNo
February 5
26%YesNo
February 4
22%YesNo
February 3
21%YesNo
February 2
19%YesNo
February 1
17%YesNo
January 31
11%YesNo
January 30
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$123m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in January?
↑ 95,000
100%YesNo
↑ 90,000
100%YesNo
↓ 85,000
100%YesNo
↓ 80,000
28%YesNo
↓ 75,000
3%YesNo
↓ 70,000
1%YesNo
↑ 105,000
0%YesNo
↑ 100,000
0%YesNo
↑ 110,000
0%YesNo
↓ 65,000
0%YesNo
↓ 60,000
0%YesNo
↓ 50,000
0%YesNo
↓ 55,000
0%YesNo
↑ 150,000
0%YesNo
↑ 130,000
0%YesNo
↑ 125,000
0%YesNo
↑ 120,000
0%YesNo
↑ 115,000
0%YesNo
↓ 40,000
0%YesNo
↓ 45,000
0%YesNo
$98m Vol.tech
View details
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$47m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
VVD + CDA + D66
98%YesNo
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
1%YesNo
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
0%YesNo
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
0%YesNo
CDA + D66
0%YesNo
No Coalition by October 31
0%YesNo
PVV + JA21
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD + JA21
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD
0%YesNo
PVV + CDA
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD + D66
0%YesNo
PVV + CDA + JA21
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD + CDA
0%YesNo
PVV + CDA + D66
0%YesNo
PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
0%YesNo
VVD + JA21
0%YesNo
VVD + D66
0%YesNo
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
0%YesNo
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
0%YesNo
GL/PvdA + D66
0%YesNo
VVD + CDA + JA21
0%YesNo
VVD + CDA
0%YesNo
GL/PvdA + VVD
0%YesNo
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
0%YesNo
GL/PvdA + CDA
0%YesNo
GL/PvdA
0%YesNo
$31m Vol.elections
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in January?
↑ 3,400
100%YesNo
↑ 3,200
100%YesNo
↓ 2,800
100%YesNo
↓ 2,600
25%YesNo
↓ 2,400
3%YesNo
↓ 2,200
1%YesNo
↑ 3,600
0%YesNo
↓ 2,000
0%YesNo
↑ 4,600
0%YesNo
↑ 6,000
0%YesNo
↓ 1,000
0%YesNo
↑ 4,400
0%YesNo
↑ 4,200
0%YesNo
↑ 4,000
0%YesNo
↑ 3,800
0%YesNo
↓ 1,400
0%YesNo
↓ 1,800
0%YesNo
↓ 1,600
0%YesNo
↓ 1,200
0%YesNo
$31m Vol.tech
View details
US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes
64%YesNo
No
37%YesNo
$29m Vol.politics
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of January?
Google
100%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$29m Vol.tech
View details
US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by January 31
89%YesNo
January 31
7%YesNo
January 30
4%YesNo
$26m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$25m Vol.geopolitics
View details
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
26%YesNo
June 30, 2026
11%YesNo
March 31, 2026
4%YesNo
$20m Vol.tech
View details
What will happen before GTA VI?
Drake releases Iceman
88%YesNo
New Playboi Carti Album
63%YesNo
GPT-6 released
62%YesNo
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
61%YesNo
New Rihanna Album
61%YesNo
Trump out as President
53%YesNo
China invades Taiwan
52%YesNo
Jesus Christ returns
49%YesNo
Bitcoin hits $1m
49%YesNo
$16m Vol.politics
View details
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$16m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed decision in March?
No change
91%YesNo
25 bps decrease
8%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
1%YesNo
25+ bps increase
1%YesNo
$15m Vol.politics
View details
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
59%YesNo
María Corina Machado
17%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
9%YesNo
Edmundo González
7%YesNo
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
5%YesNo
Vladimir Padrino López
2%YesNo
No Head of State
1%YesNo
Donald Trump
1%YesNo
Jorge Rodríguez
1%YesNo
Marco Rubio
0%YesNo
Dinorah Figuera
0%YesNo
Evan Pettus
0%YesNo
Dan Caine
0%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
0%YesNo
Frank Donovan
0%YesNo
Richard Grenell
0%YesNo
$14m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
12%YesNo
March 31
5%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$13m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of January?
NVIDIA
100%YesNo
Alphabet
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Apple
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$13m Vol.tech
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$12m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$11m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↓ 85,000
100%YesNo
↑ 90,000
100%YesNo
↓ 75,000
78%YesNo
↑ 100,000
71%YesNo
↓ 65,000
63%YesNo
↑ 110,000
53%YesNo
↓ 55,000
43%YesNo
↑ 120,000
34%YesNo
↓ 45,000
25%YesNo
↑ 130,000
24%YesNo
↑ 140,000
21%YesNo
↑ 150,000
16%YesNo
↓ 35,000
15%YesNo
↑ 160,000
14%YesNo
↑ 170,000
11%YesNo
↓ 25,000
10%YesNo
↑ 180,000
9%YesNo
↑ 190,000
9%YesNo
↑ 200,000
9%YesNo
↓ 15,000
5%YesNo
↑ 250,000
5%YesNo
$10m Vol.tech
View details
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
February 28, 2026
3%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$10m Vol.politics
View details
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%YesNo
Perplexity AI
51%YesNo
Ubisoft
48%YesNo
GitLab
37%YesNo
Lovable
35%YesNo
Pizza Hut
34%YesNo
Viking Therapeutics
28%YesNo
Nebius Group
25%YesNo
Snapchat
17%YesNo
Zoom Video Communications
15%YesNo
BP
14%YesNo
Anthropic
14%YesNo
OpenAI
11%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?
March 31, 2026
100%YesNo
June 30, 2026
100%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$1B
83%YesNo
>$2B
38%YesNo
>$3B
13%YesNo
>$4B
4%YesNo
>$6B
2%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes
46%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
69%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
December 31
80%YesNo
March 31
64%YesNo
February 28
54%YesNo
February 15
47%YesNo
January 31
11%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
September 30
46%YesNo
June 30
13%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$7m Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?
March 31, 2026
17%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
January 30
87%YesNo
January 31
57%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Péter Magyar
51%YesNo
Viktor Orbán
47%YesNo
István Kapitány
3%YesNo
János Lázár
0%YesNo
László Toroczkai
0%YesNo
Klára Dobrev
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.elections
View details
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
64%YesNo
June 30, 2026
20%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
250-500k
85%YesNo
500-750k
6%YesNo
<250k
4%YesNo
1.5-1.75m
2%YesNo
750k-1m
1%YesNo
2m+
1%YesNo
1.25-1.5m
1%YesNo
1.75-2m
0%YesNo
1-1.25m
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
89%YesNo
March 31, 2026
64%YesNo
February 28, 2026
33%YesNo
January 31, 2026
1%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
June 30, 2026
66%YesNo
March 31, 2026
58%YesNo
June 27
0%YesNo
July 11
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
July 31
0%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
2nd Largest company end of January?
Alphabet
100%YesNo
Apple
1%YesNo
NVIDIA
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Zama FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$400M
79%YesNo
$500M
50%YesNo
$600M
31%YesNo
$800M
11%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$2B
1%YesNo
$4B
1%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
69%YesNo
$4m Vol.politics
View details
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
41%YesNo
March 31
23%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
November 7
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
February 28
28%YesNo
January 31
2%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 21
0%YesNo
November 14
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
3 (75 bps)
27%YesNo
2 (50 bps)
22%YesNo
4 (100 bps)
16%YesNo
1 (25 bps)
12%YesNo
0 (0 bps)
9%YesNo
5 (125 bps)
8%YesNo
6 (150 bps)
4%YesNo
7 (175 bps)
2%YesNo
12+ (300+ bps)
2%YesNo
8 (200 bps)
1%YesNo
9 (225 bps)
1%YesNo
10 (250 bps)
1%YesNo
11 (275 bps)
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.politics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on January 30?
80,000
93%YesNo
82,000
72%YesNo
84,000
25%YesNo
86,000
5%YesNo
88,000
1%YesNo
100,000
0%YesNo
90,000
0%YesNo
92,000
0%YesNo
94,000
0%YesNo
96,000
0%YesNo
98,000
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Donald Trump
14%YesNo
Yulia Navalnaya
7%YesNo
UNRWA
5%YesNo
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
3%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
3%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%YesNo
Greta Thunberg
2%YesNo
International Court of Justice
2%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%YesNo
Khaled Mashal
1%YesNo
Charlie Kirk
1%YesNo
Narendra Modi
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Julian Assange
1%YesNo
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
1%YesNo
Xi Jinping
1%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
1%YesNo
António Guterres
0%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
0%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?
February 28
49%YesNo
January 31
2%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
March 31
31%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
$3m Vol.politics
View details
Next Country US Strikes
Somalia
100%YesNo
None before 2027
0%YesNo
Yemen
0%YesNo
Venezuela
0%YesNo
Iraq
0%YesNo
Nigeria
0%YesNo
Mexico
0%YesNo
Cuba
0%YesNo
Iran
0%YesNo
Syria
0%YesNo
Colombia
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Colombia Presidential Election
Iván Cepeda Castro
39%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
30%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
8%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
3%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
3%YesNo
Roy Barreras
2%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
1%YesNo
Vicky Dávila (IND)
1%YesNo
Claudia López (IND)
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez (IND)
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
0%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
January 30
100%YesNo
January 31
48%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
20%YesNo
by June 30, 2026
8%YesNo
by March 31, 2026
2%YesNo
by September 30, 2025
0%YesNo
by December 31, 2025
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
March 31, 2026
13%YesNo
July 18
0%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
July 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
IPOs before 2027?
Wealthfront
100%YesNo
Once Upon a Farm
97%YesNo
Discord
94%YesNo
Cerebras
80%YesNo
SpaceX
71%YesNo
Anthropic
55%YesNo
Databricks
54%YesNo
Deel
45%YesNo
OpenAI
42%YesNo
Anduril
31%YesNo
Celonis
29%YesNo
Freddie Mac
25%YesNo
Rippling
25%YesNo
Remote
23%YesNo
Vanta
23%YesNo
Ramp
22%YesNo
Glean
22%YesNo
Applied Intuition
22%YesNo
Stripe
17%YesNo
Anysphere (Cursor)
17%YesNo
Fannie Mae
17%YesNo
xAI
14%YesNo
Mistral AI
13%YesNo
Ripple Labs
11%YesNo
Brex
7%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 31
16%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?
<$50B
98%YesNo
>$250B
1%YesNo
$100-150B
1%YesNo
$50-100B
1%YesNo
$150-200B
1%YesNo
$200-250B
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
86%YesNo
$1B
62%YesNo
$2B
25%YesNo
$3B
12%YesNo
$5B
4%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
81%YesNo
Republican Party
20%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
June 30, 2026
8%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
27%YesNo
March 31
7%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump out as President by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
December 31
33%YesNo
March 31
7%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1B
70%YesNo
$2B
31%YesNo
$3B
14%YesNo
$4B
5%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$10B
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
67%YesNo
John Cornyn
26%YesNo
Wesley Hunt
4%YesNo
Dawn Buckingham
0%YesNo
Beth Van Duyne
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Infinex FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
94%YesNo
$200M
64%YesNo
$300M
26%YesNo
$400M
10%YesNo
$600M
2%YesNo
$800M
1%YesNo
$1B
1%YesNo
$2B
0%YesNo
$3B
0%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$5B
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
June 30
53%YesNo
March 31, 2026
33%YesNo
January 31
3%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
40%+
1%YesNo
50%+
1%YesNo
70%+
1%YesNo
60%+
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
How long will the Government Shutdown last?
1+ day
63%YesNo
3+ days
55%YesNo
7+ days
13%YesNo
14+ days
7%YesNo
30+ days
3%YesNo
60+ days
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
20%YesNo
March 31, 2026
4%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
65%YesNo
$300M
27%YesNo
$500M
9%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$800M
4%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$2B
2%YesNo
$4B
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Russian strike on Poland by...?
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
R Senate, D House
43%YesNo
Democrats Sweep
36%YesNo
Republicans Sweep
20%YesNo
D Senate, R House
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes
53%YesNo
No
48%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Paris Mayoral Election
Emmanuel Grégoire
56%YesNo
Rachida Dati
39%YesNo
Sarah Knafo
4%YesNo
Sophia Chikirou
2%YesNo
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
1%YesNo
Thierry Mariani
0%YesNo
David Belliard
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit January 26-February 1?
↑ 90,000
100%YesNo
↓ 86,000
100%YesNo
↓ 84,000
100%YesNo
↓ 82,000
100%YesNo
↓ 80,000
35%YesNo
↓ 78,000
13%YesNo
↓ 76,000
5%YesNo
↑ 92,000
2%YesNo
↓ 74,000
2%YesNo
↑ 96,000
1%YesNo
↑ 94,000
1%YesNo
↑ 98,000
0%YesNo
↑ 100,000
0%YesNo
↑ 102,000
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
34%YesNo
June 30, 2026
9%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Macron out by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,500
84%YesNo
↑ 3,500
71%YesNo
↓ 2,000
64%YesNo
↑ 4,000
54%YesNo
↓ 1,500
37%YesNo
↑ 4,500
37%YesNo
↑ 5,000
26%YesNo
↑ 5,500
20%YesNo
↑ 6,000
16%YesNo
↓ 1,000
16%YesNo
↑ 6,500
13%YesNo
↑ 7,000
11%YesNo
↓ 800
10%YesNo
↑ 7,500
9%YesNo
↑ 8,000
8%YesNo
↑ 10,000
6%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
39%YesNo
Pam Bondi
17%YesNo
None before 2027
10%YesNo
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
7%YesNo
Stephen Miran
6%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
5%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
3%YesNo
Marco Rubio
2%YesNo
Sean Duffy
2%YesNo
Chris Wright
1%YesNo
John Ratcliffe
1%YesNo
Jamieson Greer
1%YesNo
Susie Wiles
1%YesNo
Kelly Loeffler
1%YesNo
Russell T. Vought
1%YesNo
Scott Turner
1%YesNo
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%YesNo
Linda McMahon
1%YesNo
Scott Bessent
1%YesNo
Brooke Rollins
1%YesNo
Mike Waltz
1%YesNo
Lee Zeldin
1%YesNo
Howard Lutnick
1%YesNo
Doug Burgum
1%YesNo
Doug Collins
1%YesNo
J.D. Vance
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Starmer out by...?
December 31, 2026
51%YesNo
June 30, 2026
23%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
21%YesNo
June 30, 2026
13%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maduro mugshot released by...?
January 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$X
26%YesNo
$STAR
19%YesNo
$SPAX
9%YesNo
$SEX
8%YesNo
$SX
8%YesNo
$SPACE
6%YesNo
$MARS
6%YesNo
$SPC
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
3rd largest company end of January?
Apple
99%YesNo
Alphabet
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
NVIDIA
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Oracle
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
March 31, 2026
25%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1T+
74%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
18%YesNo
900B–1T
3%YesNo
600B–700B
2%YesNo
800B–900B
2%YesNo
700B–800B
1%YesNo
<500B
1%YesNo
500B–600B
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
69%YesNo
Alphabet
22%YesNo
Apple
7%YesNo
Microsoft
2%YesNo
Tesla
1%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
75%
100%YesNo
70%
100%YesNo
80%
21%YesNo
85%
8%YesNo
90%
5%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
March 31
28%YesNo
February 28
14%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
March 31
50%YesNo
February 28
14%YesNo
January 31
2%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
74%YesNo
New People (NL)
17%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
0%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?
February 28
29%YesNo
January 31
3%YesNo
September 15
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of March?
NVIDIA
82%YesNo
Alphabet
12%YesNo
Apple
3%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
54%YesNo
Republican
47%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Yes
93%YesNo
No
7%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
20%YesNo
March 31, 2026
7%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
June 30, 2026
100%YesNo
March 31, 2026
100%YesNo
February 28, 2026
100%YesNo
February 14, 2026
100%YesNo
February 6, 2026
99%YesNo
January 31, 2026
95%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
December 31
17%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
June 30
23%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Graham Platner
62%YesNo
Janet Mills
38%YesNo
Jordan Wood
0%YesNo
Troy Jackson
0%YesNo
Jared Golden
0%YesNo
Dan Kleban
0%YesNo
Chellie Pingree
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$700M
70%YesNo
$1B
51%YesNo
$2B
20%YesNo
$3B
13%YesNo
$4B
6%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)
Google
99%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
March 31
6%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US strike on Colombia by...?
December 31
18%YesNo
March 31
5%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$700M
57%YesNo
$1B
37%YesNo
$2B
11%YesNo
$3B
7%YesNo
$4B
4%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
GPT ads by...?
March 31
95%YesNo
January 31
6%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Will Aztec launch a token by ___?
March 31, 2026
100%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Fed decision in April?
No change
78%YesNo
25 bps decrease
18%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
3%YesNo
25+ bps increase
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
32%YesNo
September 30, 2026
20%YesNo
June 30, 2026
12%YesNo
March 31, 2026
4%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
ECB Interest Rates: February 2026
No change
99%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Google
80%YesNo
OpenAI
7%YesNo
xAI
5%YesNo
Anthropic
4%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
French election called by...?
June 30, 2026
12%YesNo
September 15
0%YesNo
October 10
0%YesNo
October 17
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Will Trump visit China by...?
April 30, 2026
82%YesNo
March 31, 2026
4%YesNo
$987K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran Strike on Israel by...?
February 28
43%YesNo
January 31
3%YesNo
$945K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PPSO
97%YesNo
PLN
2%YesNo
FA
0%YesNo
PNR
0%YesNo
AVANZA
0%YesNo
Agenda Ciudadana
0%YesNo
COMPA
0%YesNo
UP
0%YesNo
PPSD
0%YesNo
PNG
0%YesNo
PT
0%YesNo
PEL
0%YesNo
UCD
0%YesNo
PACOR
0%YesNo
PCU
0%YesNo
PUSC
0%YesNo
PLP
0%YesNo
PIN
0%YesNo
PJSC
0%YesNo
PENAC
0%YesNo
CR1
0%YesNo
CDS
0%YesNo
ACRM
0%YesNo
AY
0%YesNo
UG
0%YesNo
$942K Vol.elections
View details
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
40%YesNo
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
$940K Vol.tech
View details
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
19%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$937K Vol.geopolitics
View details
GDP growth in 2025
2.0–2.5%
85%YesNo
>2.5%
13%YesNo
<0.5%
0%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
0%YesNo
0.5–1.0%
0%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
0%YesNo
$918K Vol.politics
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$916K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?
January 30
95%YesNo
No announcement by Jan 31
4%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
$912K Vol.elections
View details
Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%YesNo
Walmart
5%YesNo
Meta
4%YesNo
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
4%YesNo
Microsoft
4%YesNo
Amazon
3%YesNo
AppLovin
2%YesNo
$904K Vol.tech
View details
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
July 31
30%YesNo
$899K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Yes
97%YesNo
No
3%YesNo
$889K Vol.politics
View details
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
50%YesNo
750B–1T
15%YesNo
1.25T–1.5T
11%YesNo
1T–1.25T
10%YesNo
1.5T+
8%YesNo
500–750B
7%YesNo
<500B
2%YesNo
$886K Vol.tech
View details
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
March 31, 2026
51%YesNo
February 28
17%YesNo
January 31, 2026
2%YesNo
$885K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on January 30?
2,500
99%YesNo
2,600
94%YesNo
2,700
75%YesNo
2,800
19%YesNo
2,900
2%YesNo
3,000
0%YesNo
3,100
0%YesNo
3,200
0%YesNo
3,300
0%YesNo
3,400
0%YesNo
3,500
0%YesNo
$864K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on January 31?
80,000
89%YesNo
82,000
67%YesNo
84,000
34%YesNo
86,000
10%YesNo
88,000
3%YesNo
90,000
1%YesNo
92,000
0%YesNo
94,000
0%YesNo
96,000
0%YesNo
98,000
0%YesNo
100,000
0%YesNo
$853K Vol.tech
View details
US strike on Cuba by...?
December 31
28%YesNo
March 31
7%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$826K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
June 30
19%YesNo
March 31
8%YesNo
February 28
4%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$821K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
37%YesNo
5
16%YesNo
3
14%YesNo
2
13%YesNo
7
6%YesNo
1
4%YesNo
6
3%YesNo
9
3%YesNo
8
3%YesNo
10
3%YesNo
11
3%YesNo
15+
1%YesNo
14
0%YesNo
12
0%YesNo
13
0%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
$814K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
52%YesNo
Naftali Bennett
28%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot
5%YesNo
Yair Lapid
4%YesNo
Yair Golan
2%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman
2%YesNo
Yossi Cohen
1%YesNo
Gideon Sa’ar
1%YesNo
Yariv Levin
1%YesNo
Benny Gantz
0%YesNo
Moshe Feiglin
0%YesNo
Ayelet Shaked
0%YesNo
Yoaz Hendel
0%YesNo
Itamar Ben Gvir
0%YesNo
$786K Vol.elections
View details
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
87%YesNo
March 31, 2026
17%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$785K Vol.tech
View details
Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by January 31
98%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
January 30
0%YesNo
December 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$770K Vol.tech
View details
Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
35%
100%YesNo
30%+
100%YesNo
40%+
2%YesNo
45%
0%YesNo
$757K Vol.tech
View details
US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28
40%YesNo
January 2026
10%YesNo
February 1
8%YesNo
February 14
6%YesNo
February 6
4%YesNo
February 7
4%YesNo
February 2
3%YesNo
February 13
2%YesNo
February 8
2%YesNo
February 21
2%YesNo
February 3
2%YesNo
February 22
2%YesNo
February 27
2%YesNo
February 26
2%YesNo
February 15
2%YesNo
February 12
2%YesNo
February 28
2%YesNo
February 11
1%YesNo
February 9
1%YesNo
February 20
1%YesNo
February 4
1%YesNo
February 10
1%YesNo
February 18
1%YesNo
February 17
1%YesNo
February 5
1%YesNo
February 19
1%YesNo
February 25
1%YesNo
February 24
1%YesNo
February 23
1%YesNo
February 16
1%YesNo
$755K Vol.geopolitics
View details
MegaETH airdrop by...?
June 30, 2026
92%YesNo
March 15, 2026
71%YesNo
February 28, 2026
68%YesNo
February 15, 2026
42%YesNo
January 31, 2026
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$747K Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$734K Vol.politics
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Which company has best AI model end of June?
Google
68%YesNo
xAI
14%YesNo
OpenAI
10%YesNo
Anthropic
4%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Mistral
2%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Meituan
1%YesNo
$721K Vol.tech
View details
Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?
VVD
98%YesNo
CDA
98%YesNo
D66
98%YesNo
GL/PvdA
3%YesNo
BBB
3%YesNo
JA21
3%YesNo
Volt
3%YesNo
PvdD
2%YesNo
50+
2%YesNo
FvD
2%YesNo
SGP
1%YesNo
Denk
1%YesNo
SP
1%YesNo
NSC
1%YesNo
PVV
1%YesNo
CU
0%YesNo
$715K Vol.elections
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StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$800M
38%YesNo
$1B
27%YesNo
$2B
12%YesNo
$5B
6%YesNo
$3B
5%YesNo
$7B
1%YesNo
$10B
1%YesNo
$696K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the second best AI model end of January?
Google
98%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
$682K Vol.tech
View details
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
Cut–Pause–Pause
91%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
10%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$679K Vol.politics
View details
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Successful splash down?
61%YesNo
March 31
54%YesNo
Super Heavy booster explodes?
52%YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
16%YesNo
February 28
2%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$670K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
March 31
47%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$667K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit January 26-February 1?
↓ 2,800
100%YesNo
↑ 3,000
100%YesNo
↓ 2,700
100%YesNo
↓ 2,600
30%YesNo
↓ 2,500
10%YesNo
↓ 2,400
4%YesNo
↑ 3,100
2%YesNo
↓ 2,300
2%YesNo
↓ 2,200
1%YesNo
↑ 3,200
1%YesNo
↑ 3,600
0%YesNo
↑ 3,500
0%YesNo
↑ 3,400
0%YesNo
↑ 3,300
0%YesNo
$664K Vol.tech
View details
Fed rate cut by...?
June Meeting
66%YesNo
April Meeting
27%YesNo
March Meeting
9%YesNo
January Meeting
0%YesNo
$660K Vol.politics
View details
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$645K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
66%YesNo
September 30, 2026
55%YesNo
June 30, 2026
24%YesNo
March 31, 2026
6%YesNo
$637K Vol.tech
View details
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$635K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of January?
Google
98%YesNo
Anthropic
1%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$624K Vol.tech
View details
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
31%YesNo
March 31, 2026
12%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 14
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$621K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Israel
100%YesNo
Turkiye
100%YesNo
Hungary
100%YesNo
Russia
32%YesNo
Ukraine
18%YesNo
India
17%YesNo
U.K.
14%YesNo
Italy
12%YesNo
Brazil
11%YesNo
Palestine
10%YesNo
China
7%YesNo
Netherlands
7%YesNo
Germany
6%YesNo
Spain
6%YesNo
Denmark
6%YesNo
Finland
4%YesNo
Norway
4%YesNo
France
4%YesNo
Switzerland
4%YesNo
Belgium
4%YesNo
Sweden
3%YesNo
$597K Vol.geopolitics
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes
36%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$585K Vol.elections
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Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
49%YesNo
September 30, 2026
37%YesNo
June 30, 2026
25%YesNo
March 31, 2026
6%YesNo
$579K Vol.tech
View details
Next CEO of Apple?
John Ternus
65%YesNo
Craig Federighi
17%YesNo
Greg Joswiak
2%YesNo
$567K Vol.tech
View details
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
ChatGPT
91%YesNo
UpScrolled
9%YesNo
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
0%YesNo
Google Gemini
0%YesNo
Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
0%YesNo
Grok
0%YesNo
JumpJumpVPN: Fast & Secure
0%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
Threads
0%YesNo
CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
0%YesNo
Paramount+
0%YesNo
V2Box - V2ray Client
0%YesNo
$557K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on January 30?
82,000-84,000
50%YesNo
<82,000
26%YesNo
84,000-86,000
21%YesNo
86,000-88,000
3%YesNo
88,000-90,000
0%YesNo
90,000-92,000
0%YesNo
92,000-94,000
0%YesNo
94,000-96,000
0%YesNo
96,000-98,000
0%YesNo
98,000-100,000
0%YesNo
>100,000
0%YesNo
$550K Vol.tech
View details
When will the next episode of the UpOnly podcast be released?
by February 28, 2026
30%YesNo
by October 31
0%YesNo
by November 30
0%YesNo
by December 31
0%YesNo
$549K Vol.tech
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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$545K Vol.geopolitics
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Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?
January 31
5%YesNo
January 30
2%YesNo
$544K Vol.geopolitics
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US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
9%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$543K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
xAI
37%YesNo
OpenAI
22%YesNo
Anthropic
21%YesNo
Z.ai
14%YesNo
Meituan
14%YesNo
DeepSeek
12%YesNo
Meta
9%YesNo
Nvidia
6%YesNo
$543K Vol.tech
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Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?
March 31, 2026
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$542K Vol.geopolitics
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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
21%YesNo
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
$537K Vol.geopolitics
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Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30
53%YesNo
March 31
38%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$536K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 30
56%YesNo
Other EU country
16%YesNo
China
7%YesNo
Gulf country
4%YesNo
Russia
4%YesNo
United States
3%YesNo
Turkey
3%YesNo
South Korea
3%YesNo
Belarus
2%YesNo
Japan
1%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
Finland
0%YesNo
Ukraine
0%YesNo
Australia
0%YesNo
$532K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Grok 4.20 released by...?
April 20
96%YesNo
January 31
2%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$532K Vol.tech
View details
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.5%
100%YesNo
↓ 3.25%
88%YesNo
↓ 3.0%
75%YesNo
↓ 2.75%
59%YesNo
↓ 2.5%
21%YesNo
↓ 2.25%
15%YesNo
↓ 0.5%
12%YesNo
↓ 1.75%
9%YesNo
↓ 0%
7%YesNo
↑ 4.5%
5%YesNo
↑ 4.25%
4%YesNo
↑ 5.5%
3%YesNo
↑ 5.0%
3%YesNo
↑ 5.25%
2%YesNo
$527K Vol.politics
View details
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
June 30
29%YesNo
February 4
7%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$522K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$517K Vol.politics
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Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
35%YesNo
September 30, 2026
25%YesNo
June 30, 2026
14%YesNo
March 31, 2026
4%YesNo
$507K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
16%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$499K Vol.geopolitics
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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
65%YesNo
Democratic Party
36%YesNo
$490K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
March 31
56%YesNo
February 28
28%YesNo
January 31
2%YesNo
$488K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$487K Vol.tech
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Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
March 31
32%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$486K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
The Netherlands
37%YesNo
Belgium
37%YesNo
New Zealand
28%YesNo
Finland
27%YesNo
Japan
22%YesNo
Germany
17%YesNo
Greece
17%YesNo
Austria
14%YesNo
United States
8%YesNo
$477K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$462K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$457K Vol.tech
View details
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Yes
70%YesNo
No
31%YesNo
$454K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Yes
39%YesNo
No
61%YesNo
$449K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$444K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
89%YesNo
300–400B
3%YesNo
100–200B
3%YesNo
600B+
2%YesNo
200–300B
1%YesNo
400–600B
1%YesNo
<100B
1%YesNo
$440K Vol.tech
View details
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
47%YesNo
Alphabet
36%YesNo
Apple
10%YesNo
Microsoft
5%YesNo
Tesla
4%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
1%YesNo
$437K Vol.tech
View details
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
41%YesNo
March 31
5%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
$436K Vol.geopolitics
View details
When will Congress pass the next funding bill?
No Bill passed by Jan 31
94%YesNo
January 30
4%YesNo
January 31
3%YesNo
$426K Vol.politics
View details
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
March 31
10%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$417K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
55%YesNo
Druzkhivka
34%YesNo
Kramatorsk
26%YesNo
Sloviansk
26%YesNo
Zaporizhia
14%YesNo
Sumy
10%YesNo
Kherson
6%YesNo
Kharkiv
5%YesNo
$415K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$400M
62%YesNo
$600M
26%YesNo
$800M
12%YesNo
$1B
8%YesNo
$1.5B
3%YesNo
$2B
2%YesNo
$414K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on January 30?
2,700-2,800
56%YesNo
2,800-2,900
19%YesNo
2,600-2,700
18%YesNo
2,500-2,600
3%YesNo
2,900-3,000
1%YesNo
<2,500
1%YesNo
3,000-3,100
0%YesNo
3,100-3,200
0%YesNo
3,200-3,300
0%YesNo
3,300-3,400
0%YesNo
>3,400
0%YesNo
$408K Vol.tech
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Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
March 31
5%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$407K Vol.elections
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Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
49%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$401K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$388K Vol.tech
View details
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$380K Vol.politics
View details
U.S. nuclear test by...?
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$379K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
73%YesNo
Russia
7%YesNo
Turkey
5%YesNo
Qatar / UAE
5%YesNo
US
3%YesNo
Hungary
3%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
2%YesNo
Ukraine
1%YesNo
China
1%YesNo
Belarus
1%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
Kazakhstan
1%YesNo
Italy / Vatican
0%YesNo
India
0%YesNo
$370K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
67%YesNo
$500M
38%YesNo
$1B
19%YesNo
$800M
18%YesNo
$2B
5%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$368K Vol.tech
View details
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
June 30
35%YesNo
December 31
31%YesNo
March 31
28%YesNo
January 31
3%YesNo
$367K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Gold
48%YesNo
Bitcoin
38%YesNo
S&P 500
15%YesNo
$359K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
June 30, 2026
19%YesNo
$354K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$346K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes
29%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$335K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will any country leave NATO by...?
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
$334K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$334K Vol.politics
View details
Paradex FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
57%YesNo
$500M
22%YesNo
$750M
11%YesNo
$1.5B
5%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$10B
1%YesNo
$5B
1%YesNo
$334K Vol.tech
View details
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$332K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on February 1?
78,000
94%YesNo
80,000
87%YesNo
82,000
65%YesNo
84,000
34%YesNo
86,000
13%YesNo
88,000
3%YesNo
90,000
1%YesNo
94,000
1%YesNo
92,000
1%YesNo
98,000
0%YesNo
96,000
0%YesNo
$325K Vol.tech
View details
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$324K Vol.tech
View details
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$316K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$315K Vol.politics
View details
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$311K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
75%YesNo
>$1.2T
69%YesNo
>$1.4T
46%YesNo
>$1.6T
33%YesNo
>$1.8T
27%YesNo
>$2T
15%YesNo
$303K Vol.tech
View details
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
December 31, 2026
8%YesNo
$301K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$301K Vol.tech
View details
Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
Google
68%YesNo
xAI
14%YesNo
None by June 30
13%YesNo
OpenAI
4%YesNo
Anthropic
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$301K Vol.tech
View details
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Morgan Stanley
57%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
14%YesNo
Bank of America
12%YesNo
JPMorgan
8%YesNo
UBS
3%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
3%YesNo
Citigroup
0%YesNo
Barclays
0%YesNo
Wells Fargo
0%YesNo
$300K Vol.tech
View details
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
42%YesNo
$298K Vol.geopolitics
View details
# of announced new drug boat strikes by January 31?
7–8
88%YesNo
9–10
4%YesNo
11+
1%YesNo
3–4
0%YesNo
5–6
0%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
1–2
0%YesNo
$297K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes
47%YesNo
No
54%YesNo
$295K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes
40%YesNo
No
61%YesNo
$295K Vol.tech
View details
Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?
>30%
4%YesNo
>50%
2%YesNo
$289K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
June 30, 2026
17%YesNo
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
0%YesNo
$289K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↓ 0.16
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
80%YesNo
↑ 1.20
15%YesNo
↑ 2.20
7%YesNo
$287K Vol.tech
View details
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$286K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of January?
$540
100%YesNo
$660
99%YesNo
$580
99%YesNo
$640
99%YesNo
$620
98%YesNo
$560
98%YesNo
$680
97%YesNo
$600
97%YesNo
$700
95%YesNo
$720
65%YesNo
$740
30%YesNo
$760
6%YesNo
$780
1%YesNo
$284K Vol.tech
View details
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$282K Vol.geopolitics
View details
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$282K Vol.tech
View details
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
>3.5%
63%YesNo
3.0–3.5%
13%YesNo
2.5–3.0%
8%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
5%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
2%YesNo
<1.0%
2%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
1%YesNo
$281K Vol.politics
View details
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Bernadette Wilson
32%YesNo
Tom Begich
31%YesNo
Nancy Dahlstrom
22%YesNo
Lisa Murkowski
6%YesNo
David Bronson
6%YesNo
Mary Peltola
3%YesNo
Matt Heilala
2%YesNo
Click Bishop
2%YesNo
Treg Taylor
2%YesNo
Adam Crum
1%YesNo
Edna DeVries
1%YesNo
$281K Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
March 31
26%YesNo
February 28
13%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
$280K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on February 2?
78,000
90%YesNo
80,000
80%YesNo
82,000
63%YesNo
84,000
39%YesNo
86,000
19%YesNo
88,000
8%YesNo
90,000
3%YesNo
92,000
1%YesNo
94,000
1%YesNo
96,000
1%YesNo
98,000
1%YesNo
$277K Vol.tech
View details
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
March 31
3%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$266K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$263K Vol.tech
View details
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$262K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Netflix
66%YesNo
Paramount
23%YesNo
None by June 30, 2027
12%YesNo
Comcast
0%YesNo
$261K Vol.tech
View details
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
March 31, 2026
17%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$259K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$258K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$257K Vol.tech
View details
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
79%YesNo
June 30, 2026
24%YesNo
March 31, 2026
9%YesNo
$257K Vol.tech
View details
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
80%YesNo
$2B
66%YesNo
$3B
54%YesNo
$257K Vol.tech
View details
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
36%YesNo
Dan Clancy - Twitch
26%YesNo
Sundar Pichai - Google
22%YesNo
Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%YesNo
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
17%YesNo
$255K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
1%YesNo
$255K Vol.tech
View details
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
<15B
33%YesNo
15–20B
23%YesNo
No IPO by June 30, 2026
15%YesNo
20–25B
11%YesNo
25–30B
9%YesNo
30B+
7%YesNo
$250K Vol.tech
View details
Colombia Senate Election Winner
Pacto Histórico (PH)
74%YesNo
Centro Democrático (CD)
19%YesNo
Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)
4%YesNo
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
1%YesNo
Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)
1%YesNo
Comunes (COM)
0%YesNo
Colombia Justa Libres – MIRA (CJL/MIRA)
0%YesNo
Cambio Radical (CR)
0%YesNo
Partido de la U – Partido de la Unión por la Gente (U)
0%YesNo
Movimiento Alternativo Indígena y Social (MAIS)
0%YesNo
Autoridades Indígenas de Colombia (AICO)
0%YesNo
Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA)
0%YesNo
$249K Vol.elections
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Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
84%YesNo
$100M
32%YesNo
$200M
14%YesNo
$400M
9%YesNo
$300M
2%YesNo
$249K Vol.tech
View details
2nd largest company end of March?
Alphabet
73%YesNo
Apple
11%YesNo
NVIDIA
10%YesNo
Microsoft
2%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
$246K Vol.tech
View details
US bank failure by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$245K Vol.politics
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Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
70%YesNo
$244K Vol.tech
View details
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa
12%YesNo
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
6%YesNo
Gabriel Fernando Indi
5%YesNo
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
3%YesNo
João Bernardo Vieira
3%YesNo
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%YesNo
José Mário Vaz
3%YesNo
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%YesNo
Siga Batista
1%YesNo
Baciro Djá
1%YesNo
João de Deus Mendes
1%YesNo
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
0%YesNo
$244K Vol.elections
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Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$241K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$239K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many different countries will Israel strike in January?
≤1
81%YesNo
2
6%YesNo
≥4
3%YesNo
3
0%YesNo
$238K Vol.geopolitics
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USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
85%YesNo
$500M
43%YesNo
$800M
15%YesNo
$1B
8%YesNo
$2B
3%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$235K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Yes
86%YesNo
No
14%YesNo
$229K Vol.tech
View details
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$225K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Infinex launch a token by ___ ?
June 30, 2026
100%YesNo
March 31, 2026
100%YesNo
February 28, 2026
100%YesNo
January 31, 2026
100%YesNo
$221K Vol.tech
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Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
Yes
99%YesNo
No
1%YesNo
$219K Vol.politics
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OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$219K Vol.tech
View details
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?
<350k
72%YesNo
350k–375k
16%YesNo
375k–400k
8%YesNo
400k–425k
4%YesNo
425k–450k
1%YesNo
450k–475k
1%YesNo
500k+
0%YesNo
475k–500k
0%YesNo
$215K Vol.tech
View details
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Prince Andrew
76%YesNo
Barack Obama
75%YesNo
Stephen Colbert
74%YesNo
Bill Clinton
74%YesNo
Alan Dershowitz
66%YesNo
Reid Hoffman
59%YesNo
Bill Gates
59%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
56%YesNo
Tony Blair
55%YesNo
Donald Trump
53%YesNo
Stephen Hawking
52%YesNo
Elon Musk
52%YesNo
Michael Jackson
51%YesNo
Leonardo DiCaprio
51%YesNo
David Copperfield
50%YesNo
Ehud Barak
50%YesNo
Kevin Spacey
48%YesNo
Jamie Dimon
47%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
42%YesNo
Henry Kissinger
40%YesNo
Kirsten Gillibrand
38%YesNo
Joe Biden
38%YesNo
Chuck Schumer
33%YesNo
Al Gore
33%YesNo
Justin Trudeau
32%YesNo
David Koch
31%YesNo
Jay-Z
29%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
24%YesNo
Jimmy Kimmel
21%YesNo
Oprah Winfrey
20%YesNo
Piers Morgan
19%YesNo
Anderson Cooper
17%YesNo
Tom Hanks
17%YesNo
Robert Downey Jr.
14%YesNo
Quentin Tarantino
14%YesNo
Rachel Maddow
14%YesNo
Ellen Degeneres
14%YesNo
Sean Combs
8%YesNo
$212K Vol.politics
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Medline IPO Closing Market Cap
45B–55B
100%YesNo
No IPO before 2026
0%YesNo
<35B
0%YesNo
55B–65B
0%YesNo
35B–45B
0%YesNo
65B+
0%YesNo
$212K Vol.tech
View details
Nuclear weapon detonation by...?
Before 2027
13%YesNo
June 30
7%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$211K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Texas House Special Election Winner
Christian Menefee
88%YesNo
Amanda Edwards
10%YesNo
Zoe Cadore
0%YesNo
Jolanda Jones
0%YesNo
Isaiah Martin
0%YesNo
Cyrus Sajna
0%YesNo
Reyna Anderson
0%YesNo
Rain Eatmon
0%YesNo
George Foreman IV
0%YesNo
James Joseph
0%YesNo
Robert Slater
0%YesNo
Theodis Daniel
0%YesNo
$211K Vol.elections
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Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$210K Vol.geopolitics
View details
California Governor Election Winner
Eric Swalwell
43%YesNo
Matt Mahan
33%YesNo
Katie Porter
9%YesNo
Tom Steyer
6%YesNo
Chad Bianco
3%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%YesNo
Alex Padilla
1%YesNo
Steve Hilton
1%YesNo
Xavier Becerra
1%YesNo
Kyle Langford
1%YesNo
Rick Caruso
1%YesNo
Betty Yee
0%YesNo
Nicole Shanahan
0%YesNo
Stephen Cloobeck
0%YesNo
Eleni Kounalakis
0%YesNo
Kamala Harris
0%YesNo
Michael Younger
0%YesNo
Leo Zacky
0%YesNo
Butch Ware
0%YesNo
Tony Thurmond
0%YesNo
Toni Atkins
0%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
0%YesNo
$209K Vol.elections
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Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
50%YesNo
Dan Sullivan
49%YesNo
Ann Diener
2%YesNo
Dustin Darden
0%YesNo
Richard Grayson
0%YesNo
$207K Vol.elections
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Will Backpack launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
97%YesNo
March 31, 2026
77%YesNo
$205K Vol.tech
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Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
85%YesNo
$1B
46%YesNo
$2B
25%YesNo
$3B
18%YesNo
$204K Vol.tech
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$204K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?
↑ $720
100%YesNo
↑ $700
100%YesNo
↑ $680
100%YesNo
↓ $660
100%YesNo
↓ $640
100%YesNo
↓ $620
100%YesNo
↑ $750
8%YesNo
↑ $790
3%YesNo
↓ $560
0%YesNo
↑ $880
0%YesNo
↑ $830
0%YesNo
↓ $590
0%YesNo
↓ $520
0%YesNo
↓ $470
0%YesNo
$202K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
No change
77%YesNo
25 bps increase
20%YesNo
Decrease rates
2%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
$201K Vol.politics
View details
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↓ 120
100%YesNo
↑ 140
100%YesNo
↓ 100
83%YesNo
↑ 160
65%YesNo
↓ 80
60%YesNo
↑ 180
50%YesNo
↓ 60
45%YesNo
↑ 200
38%YesNo
↑ 220
27%YesNo
↓ 40
26%YesNo
↑ 240
20%YesNo
↑ 300
13%YesNo
↑ 280
12%YesNo
↑ 320
12%YesNo
↓ 20
11%YesNo
↑ 400
7%YesNo
↑ 600
5%YesNo
$201K Vol.tech
View details
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$193K Vol.geopolitics
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Aztec FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
42%YesNo
$800M
13%YesNo
$1B
10%YesNo
$1.5B
6%YesNo
$2B
2%YesNo
$193K Vol.tech
View details
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$191K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3AM ET
Yes
64%YesNo
No
37%YesNo
$187K Vol.tech
View details
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by January 31?
Tehran
11%YesNo
Nuclear
6%YesNo
Oil/Gas
3%YesNo
$187K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$187K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?
February 14
48%YesNo
January 31
10%YesNo
$182K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Grok 5 released by...?
March 31, 2026
12%YesNo
$180K Vol.tech
View details
Will Solstice launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
98%YesNo
December 31, 2026
97%YesNo
June 30, 2026
96%YesNo
March 31, 2026
75%YesNo
$179K Vol.tech
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Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
90%YesNo
$175K Vol.tech
View details
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Maria Corina Machado
100%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100%YesNo
Javier Milei
100%YesNo
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100%YesNo
Xi Jinping
93%YesNo
Lula da Silva
92%YesNo
Friedrich Merz
91%YesNo
Keir Starmer
91%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
74%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
72%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
53%YesNo
Kim Jong Un
37%YesNo
Aleksandr Lukashenko
27%YesNo
MrBeast
14%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
12%YesNo
Nick Fuentes
9%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
8%YesNo
Lai Ching-te
7%YesNo
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%YesNo
$174K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
June 30
5%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$173K Vol.geopolitics
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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
UpScrolled
86%YesNo
ChatGPT
13%YesNo
Threads
8%YesNo
V2Box - V2ray Client
3%YesNo
Paramount+
2%YesNo
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
1%YesNo
Google Gemini
1%YesNo
Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
1%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
JumpJumpVPN: Fast & Secure
0%YesNo
CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
0%YesNo
Grok
0%YesNo
$172K Vol.tech
View details
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?
February 28
23%YesNo
January 31
2%YesNo
$171K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Toretske by...?
January 31
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$171K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$170K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February
Increase
73%YesNo
No Change
25%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$170K Vol.politics
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Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$169K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel strike on Yemen by...?
June 30
64%YesNo
March 31
42%YesNo
$169K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Google Gemini Parlay
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$163K Vol.tech
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Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$163K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?
March 31
25%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$162K Vol.geopolitics
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Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
67%YesNo
June 30, 2026
49%YesNo
September 30, 2026
44%YesNo
March 31, 2026
37%YesNo
$162K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin price on January 31?
82,000-84,000
33%YesNo
84,000-86,000
24%YesNo
80,000-82,000
23%YesNo
<80,000
12%YesNo
86,000-88,000
8%YesNo
90,000-92,000
2%YesNo
88,000-90,000
2%YesNo
94,000-96,000
0%YesNo
>98,000
0%YesNo
96,000-98,000
0%YesNo
$160K Vol.tech
View details
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Canada
36%YesNo
Argentina
32%YesNo
South Korea
26%YesNo
European Union
26%YesNo
Indonesia
25%YesNo
India
25%YesNo
Brazil
22%YesNo
Japan
21%YesNo
Pakistan
20%YesNo
Russia
19%YesNo
Taiwan
18%YesNo
$158K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on February 1?
2,400
98%YesNo
2,500
96%YesNo
2,600
89%YesNo
2,700
67%YesNo
2,800
32%YesNo
2,900
10%YesNo
3,000
3%YesNo
3,100
2%YesNo
3,300
1%YesNo
3,200
1%YesNo
3,400
1%YesNo
$157K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↓ 32
100%YesNo
↓ 24
100%YesNo
↑ 34
100%YesNo
↓ 28
100%YesNo
↑ 38
79%YesNo
↓ 20
75%YesNo
↑ 46
67%YesNo
↑ 42
65%YesNo
↑ 50
51%YesNo
↓ 16
48%YesNo
↑ 54
46%YesNo
↑ 62
42%YesNo
↑ 66
38%YesNo
↑ 70
34%YesNo
↓ 12
26%YesNo
↑ 80
25%YesNo
↑ 100
17%YesNo
↓ 8
15%YesNo
$157K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$156K Vol.tech
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Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$25M
90%YesNo
$50M
85%YesNo
$100M
52%YesNo
$300M
5%YesNo
$500M
5%YesNo
$1B
3%YesNo
$800M
3%YesNo
$2B
1%YesNo
$154K Vol.tech
View details
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Syria
23%YesNo
Oman
21%YesNo
$153K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
June 30
25%YesNo
March 31
11%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
$153K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on February 3?
78,000
89%YesNo
80,000
78%YesNo
82,000
61%YesNo
84,000
39%YesNo
86,000
23%YesNo
88,000
11%YesNo
90,000
4%YesNo
92,000
2%YesNo
94,000
2%YesNo
96,000
1%YesNo
98,000
1%YesNo
$152K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on January 31?
2,500
98%YesNo
2,600
91%YesNo
2,700
69%YesNo
2,800
31%YesNo
2,900
8%YesNo
3,000
1%YesNo
3,100
0%YesNo
3,300
0%YesNo
3,200
0%YesNo
3,500
0%YesNo
$151K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$147K Vol.tech
View details
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat
70%YesNo
Republican
21%YesNo
$146K Vol.elections
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Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Lovable
16%YesNo
Perplexity AI
13%YesNo
MicroStrategy
9%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
Anthropic
3%YesNo
$145K Vol.tech
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Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$144K Vol.politics
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Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes
45%YesNo
No
56%YesNo
$142K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
48%YesNo
$200M
12%YesNo
$100M
11%YesNo
$400M
2%YesNo
$300M
1%YesNo
$141K Vol.tech
View details
Okbet Arena AI trading competition winner?
GPT
96%YesNo
Gemini
1%YesNo
Grok
1%YesNo
Claude
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
$140K Vol.tech
View details
Russia nuclear test by...?
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$140K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Mallory McMorrow
53%YesNo
Haley Stevens
30%YesNo
Abdul El-Sayed
18%YesNo
Dana Nessel
0%YesNo
Rashida Tlaib
0%YesNo
Sarah Anthony
0%YesNo
Kristen McDonald Rivet
0%YesNo
Andy Levin
0%YesNo
Matt Sahr
0%YesNo
$139K Vol.elections
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Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
Miami
96%YesNo
Dallas
83%YesNo
Nashville
83%YesNo
Las Vegas
26%YesNo
London
25%YesNo
New York City
19%YesNo
Detroit
18%YesNo
Denver
18%YesNo
Washington DC
14%YesNo
$138K Vol.tech
View details
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$137K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down on January 30?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$137K Vol.tech
View details
Who will Bernie endorse?
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen
53%YesNo
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov
45%YesNo
James Talarico - TX-Sen
34%YesNo
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen
25%YesNo
Kshama Sawant - WA-09
11%YesNo
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen
9%YesNo
Omar Fateh - Minneapolis Mayor
0%YesNo
$135K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by...?
February 28
71%YesNo
January 31
6%YesNo
$134K Vol.geopolitics
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Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$134K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
48%YesNo
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
31%YesNo
Shutdown & Republican Party
13%YesNo
No Shutdown & Republican Party
5%YesNo
$133K Vol.elections
View details
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$132K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$131K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Google
90%YesNo
xAI
6%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Anthropic
1%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$128K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↓ 400
100%YesNo
↓ 500
100%YesNo
↓ 300
86%YesNo
↓ 200
63%YesNo
↑ 700
45%YesNo
↑ 600
44%YesNo
↓ 100
40%YesNo
↑ 800
33%YesNo
↑ 900
28%YesNo
↑ 1000
22%YesNo
↓ 50
16%YesNo
↑ 1100
15%YesNo
$128K Vol.tech
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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes
74%YesNo
No
27%YesNo
$126K Vol.tech
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Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk
91%YesNo
Larry Page
3%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
2%YesNo
Warren Buffett
2%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
1%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
1%YesNo
Jensen Huang
1%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
1%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
Sergey Brin
0%YesNo
$125K Vol.tech
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Negative GDP growth in 2025?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$125K Vol.politics
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Bank of England decision in February?
No change
99%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$125K Vol.politics
View details
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$124K Vol.geopolitics
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China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
18%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
$123K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the #3 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)
Google
98%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$123K Vol.tech
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Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
March 31
57%YesNo
February 15
7%YesNo
$122K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$121K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
72%YesNo
100–125B
7%YesNo
175–200B
6%YesNo
125–150B
5%YesNo
250B+
2%YesNo
200–250B
2%YesNo
150–175B
1%YesNo
<100B
1%YesNo
$121K Vol.tech
View details
Will Paradex launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
98%YesNo
September 30, 2026
98%YesNo
June 30, 2026
96%YesNo
May 31, 2026
96%YesNo
April 30, 2026
94%YesNo
March 31, 2026
87%YesNo
February 28, 2026
42%YesNo
$121K Vol.tech
View details
Who will Trump endorse?
Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen
100%YesNo
Andy Barr - KY-Sen
63%YesNo
John Cornyn - TX-Sen
38%YesNo
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
35%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov
0%YesNo
$119K Vol.politics
View details
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
88%YesNo
December 31, 2026
87%YesNo
June 30, 2026
85%YesNo
March 31, 2026
6%YesNo
$119K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)
xAI
98%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
Mistral
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$117K Vol.tech
View details
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
49%YesNo
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
33%YesNo
Centro Democrático (CD)
7%YesNo
Cambio Radical (CR)
5%YesNo
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
3%YesNo
Green Alliance
0%YesNo
Partido de la U (La U)
0%YesNo
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL)
0%YesNo
$117K Vol.elections
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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$115K Vol.tech
View details
Israel strike on Damascus by...?
March 31, 2026
6%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$113K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$113K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$112K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Spain snap election called by...?
June 30, 2026
21%YesNo
$112K Vol.elections
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Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?
March 31
42%YesNo
January 31
3%YesNo
$110K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$109K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$107K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Borova by...?
March 31
20%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$106K Vol.geopolitics
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US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$105K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maduro Prison Time?
60+
48%YesNo
No prison time
22%YesNo
40–60
16%YesNo
20–40
10%YesNo
<20
5%YesNo
$105K Vol.geopolitics
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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$105K Vol.geopolitics
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2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$104K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Yes
38%YesNo
No
62%YesNo
$101K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US bank failure by March 31?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$100K Vol.politics
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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
56%YesNo
March 31, 2026
11%YesNo
$100K Vol.tech
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Trump cabinet member out by...?
December 31, 2026
90%YesNo
June 30, 2026
66%YesNo
March 31, 2026
52%YesNo
$100K Vol.politics
View details
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
95%YesNo
September 30, 2026
91%YesNo
June 30, 2026
84%YesNo
March 31, 2026
58%YesNo
$98K Vol.tech
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Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?
March 31, 2026
93%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$97K Vol.tech
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Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
92%YesNo
June 30
5%YesNo
$97K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Switzerland
100%YesNo
China
93%YesNo
France
90%YesNo
United Kingdom
80%YesNo
Germany
79%YesNo
Israel
69%YesNo
Mexico
59%YesNo
India
53%YesNo
Japan
49%YesNo
Canada
31%YesNo
Russia
27%YesNo
Taiwan
6%YesNo
$96K Vol.geopolitics
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Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$96K Vol.tech
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Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
18%YesNo
PT
4%YesNo
FLING
4%YesNo
PS
3%YesNo
MUNDO-GB
2%YesNo
FREPASNA
1%YesNo
$95K Vol.elections
View details
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
55%YesNo
$800M
30%YesNo
$1B
24%YesNo
$2B
12%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$94K Vol.tech
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Michigan Senate Election Winner
Democrat
77%YesNo
Republican
23%YesNo
$93K Vol.elections
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes
39%YesNo
No
62%YesNo
$93K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$93K Vol.geopolitics
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Richest person on March 31?
Elon Musk
98%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
1%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
0%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
Jensen Huang
0%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
0%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
0%YesNo
Larry Page
0%YesNo
Sergey Brin
0%YesNo
Warren Buffett
0%YesNo
$92K Vol.tech
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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
10%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$90K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Yes
87%YesNo
No
14%YesNo
$89K Vol.tech
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Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
December 31, 2026
5%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$89K Vol.tech
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U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$89K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Yes
38%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$89K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin price on February 1?
82,000-84,000
30%YesNo
84,000-86,000
23%YesNo
80,000-82,000
21%YesNo
<80,000
14%YesNo
86,000-88,000
10%YesNo
88,000-90,000
3%YesNo
94,000-96,000
1%YesNo
90,000-92,000
1%YesNo
92,000-94,000
1%YesNo
96,000-98,000
0%YesNo
>98,000
0%YesNo
$88K Vol.tech
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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$87K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$87K Vol.geopolitics
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January Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%
36%YesNo
0.2%
33%YesNo
≤0.1%
24%YesNo
0.4%
7%YesNo
≥0.5%
2%YesNo
$87K Vol.politics
View details
Crypto Twitter mindshare ATH by March 31, 2026?
Proph3t
41%YesNo
Sisyphus
34%YesNo
threadguy
22%YesNo
Ansem
21%YesNo
Bonk Guy
16%YesNo
Arthur_0x
16%YesNo
Tom Lee
14%YesNo
mert
12%YesNo
Flood
11%YesNo
Cobie
9%YesNo
CBB
7%YesNo
CZ
6%YesNo
$86K Vol.tech
View details
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
10
20%YesNo
7
17%YesNo
12+
17%YesNo
8
14%YesNo
9
12%YesNo
11
11%YesNo
6
11%YesNo
≤5
7%YesNo
$86K Vol.tech
View details
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$85K Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$85K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Sofiivka by...?
January 31
9%YesNo
$83K Vol.geopolitics
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Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$82K Vol.tech
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Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$81K Vol.geopolitics
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Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
37%YesNo
March 31, 2026
4%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
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Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
42%YesNo
$200M
36%YesNo
$300M
24%YesNo
$400M
9%YesNo
$1B
3%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Shadowrocket
67%YesNo
HotSchedules
34%YesNo
Paprika Recipe Manager 3
0%YesNo
AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder
0%YesNo
TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome
0%YesNo
AnkiMobile Flashcards
0%YesNo
Procreate Pocket
0%YesNo
imo video calls and chat HD
0%YesNo
$80K Vol.tech
View details
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
28%YesNo
7-8
26%YesNo
9-10
15%YesNo
<5
10%YesNo
>16
9%YesNo
11-12
8%YesNo
15-16
5%YesNo
13-14
3%YesNo
$78K Vol.tech
View details
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
60%YesNo
75B–100B
11%YesNo
30B–40B
7%YesNo
100B+
6%YesNo
50B–75B
6%YesNo
20B–30B
5%YesNo
<20B
4%YesNo
40B–50B
3%YesNo
$77K Vol.tech
View details
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100
25%YesNo
5k-10k
15%YesNo
25k-100k
15%YesNo
1k-2.5k
12%YesNo
2.5k-5k
10%YesNo
0
9%YesNo
10k-25k
8%YesNo
>100k
7%YesNo
101-1k
6%YesNo
$77K Vol.geopolitics
View details
China coup attempt before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$76K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$76K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$76K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$75K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$75K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
March 31, 2026
7%YesNo
$74K Vol.politics
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Bitcoin price on February 2?
82,000-84,000
25%YesNo
84,000-86,000
20%YesNo
80,000-82,000
18%YesNo
78,000-80,000
11%YesNo
86,000-88,000
11%YesNo
<78,000
9%YesNo
90,000-92,000
3%YesNo
92,000-94,000
1%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
View details
Which banks will fail by June 30?
Deutsche Bank
6%YesNo
UBS
5%YesNo
JPMorgan Chase
4%YesNo
BNP Paribas
3%YesNo
Citigroup
3%YesNo
Scotiabank
3%YesNo
HSBC
3%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
2%YesNo
$73K Vol.politics
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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$73K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$73K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$16B
83%YesNo
$20B
66%YesNo
$18B
58%YesNo
$26B
57%YesNo
$24B
57%YesNo
$22B
49%YesNo
$28B
28%YesNo
$73K Vol.tech
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Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes
39%YesNo
No
61%YesNo
$72K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$71K Vol.tech
View details
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$71K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
82%YesNo
$71K Vol.tech
View details
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$70K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$69K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$69K Vol.tech
View details
Claude 5 released by…?
March 31, 2026
27%YesNo
$68K Vol.tech
View details
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
OpenAI
51%YesNo
Anthropic
31%YesNo
Google
9%YesNo
DeepSeek
5%YesNo
xAI
4%YesNo
Mistral
3%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
$68K Vol.tech
View details
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$68K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?
January 30
3%YesNo
$68K Vol.politics
View details
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.4%
23%YesNo
4.5%
17%YesNo
4.6%
8%YesNo
4.8%
3%YesNo
5.0%
3%YesNo
$67K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on February 4?
80,000
76%YesNo
82,000
62%YesNo
84,000
42%YesNo
86,000
24%YesNo
88,000
13%YesNo
90,000
6%YesNo
92,000
3%YesNo
94,000
2%YesNo
100,000
1%YesNo
96,000
1%YesNo
$67K Vol.tech
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Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$66K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.6%
53%YesNo
4.5%
51%YesNo
4.8%
18%YesNo
5.0%
14%YesNo
5.2%
9%YesNo
$65K Vol.politics
View details
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
82%YesNo
September 30 2026
52%YesNo
June 30 2026
20%YesNo
March 31 2026
5%YesNo
$65K Vol.tech
View details
NASA Artemis II
March 31
84%YesNo
February 28
80%YesNo
February 7
36%YesNo
Artemis II explodes?
15%YesNo
$64K Vol.tech
View details
Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$64K Vol.tech
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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
59%YesNo
June 30
33%YesNo
$64K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on February 1?
<1.06m
93%YesNo
1.06 - 1.07m
5%YesNo
>1.1m
1%YesNo
1.07 - 1.08m
0%YesNo
1.08 - 1.09m
0%YesNo
1.09 - 1.1m
0%YesNo
$63K Vol.politics
View details
Bank of Russia decision in February?
No Change
56%YesNo
Decrease
44%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$63K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
53%YesNo
$63K Vol.elections
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Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$62K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
↓ 0.0026
100%YesNo
↑ 0.0030
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0022
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0018
100%YesNo
↑ 0.0090
14%YesNo
↑ 0.0080
12%YesNo
$62K Vol.tech
View details
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Republican
66%YesNo
Democrat
36%YesNo
$61K Vol.elections
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Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Democrat
73%YesNo
Republican
27%YesNo
$61K Vol.elections
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Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
69%YesNo
December 31, 2026
33%YesNo
$61K Vol.tech
View details
Central Bank of Colombia decision in January?
Increase
98%YesNo
No change
2%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$60K Vol.politics
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Bank of Mexico decision in February?
No change
96%YesNo
Decrease
2%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$59K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$59K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$58K Vol.geopolitics
View details
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
June 30
10%YesNo
$58K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum above ___ on February 2?
2,400
98%YesNo
2,500
94%YesNo
2,600
84%YesNo
2,700
64%YesNo
2,800
36%YesNo
2,900
16%YesNo
3,000
6%YesNo
3,100
2%YesNo
3,200
0%YesNo
3,400
0%YesNo
3,300
0%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on January 31?
2,700-2,800
38%YesNo
2,600-2,700
24%YesNo
2,800-2,900
24%YesNo
2,500-2,600
8%YesNo
<2,500
3%YesNo
3,000-3,100
2%YesNo
3,200-3,300
0%YesNo
3,300-3,400
0%YesNo
>3,400
0%YesNo
$57K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on February 3?
<80,000
22%YesNo
82,000-84,000
22%YesNo
84,000-86,000
19%YesNo
86,000-88,000
12%YesNo
88,000-90,000
7%YesNo
90,000-92,000
3%YesNo
$57K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
OpenAI
15%YesNo
Meituan
4%YesNo
$57K Vol.tech
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Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$55K Vol.geopolitics
View details
GPT-5.3 released by...?
February 28
72%YesNo
February 14
57%YesNo
January 31
1%YesNo
$54K Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$53K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 2.00
100%YesNo
↓ 1.80
100%YesNo
↑ 2.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.60
86%YesNo
↑ 2.60
59%YesNo
↑ 2.80
47%YesNo
↑ 5.00
15%YesNo
↓ 0.40
10%YesNo
↓ 0.20
5%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Yes
52%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
View details
What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on February 1?
<1.13m
99%YesNo
1.13 - 1.23m
1%YesNo
1.33 - 1.43m
0%YesNo
1.23 - 1.33m
0%YesNo
>1.43m
0%YesNo
$53K Vol.politics
View details
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$52K Vol.tech
View details
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$52K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$52K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
December 31
32%YesNo
June 30
21%YesNo
March 31
10%YesNo
$51K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
35%YesNo
5.5%
18%YesNo
6.0%
12%YesNo
7.0%
7%YesNo
10.0%
4%YesNo
$51K Vol.politics
View details
What will the median home value in Miami be on February 1?
>1.1m
99%YesNo
1.075 - 1.1m
1%YesNo
975k - 1m
0%YesNo
<975k
0%YesNo
1 - 1.025m
0%YesNo
1.025 - 1.05m
0%YesNo
1.05 - 1.075m
0%YesNo
$49K Vol.politics
View details
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$49K Vol.tech
View details
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Yes
92%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$49K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
January 31
5%YesNo
$49K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Pause–Pause–Pause
76%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
4%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$49K Vol.politics
View details
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1m
86%YesNo
1.1m
41%YesNo
1.2m
13%YesNo
1.3m
11%YesNo
1.4m
9%YesNo
1.5m
8%YesNo
1.7m
7%YesNo
2m
4%YesNo
$49K Vol.politics
View details
Will StandX launch a token by ___ ?
March 31
20%YesNo
$49K Vol.tech
View details
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$48K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the median home value in the US be on February 1?
>418k
96%YesNo
416 - 418k
3%YesNo
414 - 416k
0%YesNo
412 - 414k
0%YesNo
<410k
0%YesNo
410 - 412k
0%YesNo
$48K Vol.politics
View details
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes
44%YesNo
No
56%YesNo
$47K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$47K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$47K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
42%YesNo
September 30, 2026
39%YesNo
June 30, 2026
25%YesNo
March 31, 2026
8%YesNo
$47K Vol.tech
View details
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by...?
January 31
1%YesNo
$46K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?
↓ 4.50
100%YesNo
↓ 6.00
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50
100%YesNo
↓ 3.00
57%YesNo
↑ 15.50
18%YesNo
$46K Vol.tech
View details
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Republican
70%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$46K Vol.elections
View details
New York Governor Election Winner
Democrat
88%YesNo
Republican
13%YesNo
$45K Vol.elections
View details
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 3%
28%YesNo
Above 4%
14%YesNo
Above 5%
12%YesNo
Above 6%
8%YesNo
$45K Vol.politics
View details
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
Decrease
94%YesNo
No Change
6%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$45K Vol.politics
View details
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$43K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$43K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Republican
63%YesNo
Democrat
38%YesNo
$42K Vol.elections
View details
Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$42K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.24
100%YesNo
↑ 0.28
100%YesNo
↑ 1.20
10%YesNo
$42K Vol.tech
View details
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
4.0%
73%YesNo
1.0%
5%YesNo
$41K Vol.politics
View details
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
December 31
22%YesNo
June 30
5%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Democrat
87%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$41K Vol.elections
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Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
73%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?
December 31, 2026
60%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat
96%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$40K Vol.elections
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Yes
57%YesNo
No
43%YesNo
$40K Vol.tech
View details
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
90%YesNo
$39K Vol.tech
View details
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$39K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in February?
No Change
82%YesNo
Decrease
16%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$39K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Sam Altman in jail by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$39K Vol.tech
View details
Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
↑ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↑ 2.20
20%YesNo
$37K Vol.tech
View details
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
83%YesNo
$300M
46%YesNo
$700M
22%YesNo
$1B
5%YesNo
$36K Vol.tech
View details
What will the median home value in New York City be on February 1?
580 - 590k
94%YesNo
570 - 580k
4%YesNo
590 - 600k
0%YesNo
<560k
0%YesNo
>600k
0%YesNo
560 - 570k
0%YesNo
$36K Vol.politics
View details
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$35K Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?
June 30
70%YesNo
March 31
68%YesNo
$35K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$35K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on February 3?
2,600
81%YesNo
2,700
62%YesNo
2,800
39%YesNo
2,900
20%YesNo
3,200
2%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$34K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed Decision in June?
No change
42%YesNo
25 bps decrease
40%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
14%YesNo
25 bps increase
2%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
$34K Vol.politics
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
<1.0T
27%YesNo
2.0T+
20%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
18%YesNo
1.6T–1.8T
9%YesNo
1.2T–1.4T
9%YesNo
1.8T–2.0T
9%YesNo
1.4T–1.6T
8%YesNo
1.0T–1.2T
6%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
View details
Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
38%YesNo
$500M
25%YesNo
$800M
14%YesNo
$1B
9%YesNo
$2B
6%YesNo
$3B
5%YesNo
$33K Vol.tech
View details
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$33K Vol.politics
View details
AWS service disrupted by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on February 4?
2,600
80%YesNo
2,700
63%YesNo
2,800
38%YesNo
2,900
21%YesNo
3,100
4%YesNo
3,400
2%YesNo
3,500
1%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
View details
Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$700M
19%YesNo
$1B
14%YesNo
$2B
7%YesNo
$3B
6%YesNo
$4B
5%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$31K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?
5M ETH
93%YesNo
7M ETH
20%YesNo
$31K Vol.tech
View details
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Yes
60%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$31K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$30K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Texas Senate Election Winner
Republican
68%YesNo
Democrat
32%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
View details
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Democrat
64%YesNo
Republican
36%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
View details
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$30K Vol.politics
View details
Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
68%YesNo
Republican
31%YesNo
$29K Vol.elections
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US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$29K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Google
80%YesNo
xAI
11%YesNo
OpenAI
4%YesNo
Anthropic
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
$28K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$28K Vol.geopolitics
View details
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
78%YesNo
Republican
22%YesNo
$28K Vol.elections
View details
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
36%YesNo
$1B
18%YesNo
$2B
9%YesNo
$3B
4%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on February 1?
2,700-2,800
33%YesNo
2,600-2,700
22%YesNo
2,500-2,600
8%YesNo
<2,400
2%YesNo
3,200-3,300
1%YesNo
>3,300
0%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?
670b+
51%YesNo
660-670b
48%YesNo
650-660b
4%YesNo
630-640b
3%YesNo
640-650b
3%YesNo
<620b
1%YesNo
620-630b
1%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$27K Vol.geopolitics
View details
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$27K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass
64%YesNo
Gina Viola
6%YesNo
Asaad Alnajjar
5%YesNo
Rick Caruso
3%YesNo
$27K Vol.elections
View details
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$26K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
OpenAI
43%YesNo
Google
18%YesNo
Anthropic
16%YesNo
xAI
14%YesNo
DeepSeek
8%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by...?
March 31
48%YesNo
January 31
4%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2026
36%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Venezuela
18%YesNo
Syria
17%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
15%YesNo
Lebanon
6%YesNo
Indonesia
6%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Meta (META) finish week of January 26 above___?
$650
99%YesNo
$670
99%YesNo
$690
97%YesNo
$710
93%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
January Inflation US - Annual
≤2.8%
93%YesNo
3.0%
4%YesNo
2.9%
2%YesNo
3.1%
1%YesNo
≥3.2%
1%YesNo
$25K Vol.politics
View details
Price of Dozen Eggs in January
$2.50–2.75
65%YesNo
<$2.50
24%YesNo
$2.75–3.00
5%YesNo
$3.25–3.50
4%YesNo
$3.00–3.25
3%YesNo
$3.75–4.00
1%YesNo
$3.50–3.75
0%YesNo
>$4.00
0%YesNo
$25K Vol.politics
View details
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Democrat
55%YesNo
Republican
39%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
View details
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
Google
44%YesNo
xAI
14%YesNo
OpenAI
11%YesNo
Baidu
8%YesNo
Anthropic
7%YesNo
DeepSeek
5%YesNo
Mistral
3%YesNo
Meituan
3%YesNo
Moonshot
2%YesNo
Alibaba
2%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Vidbir 2026 Winner
Jerry Heil
62%YesNo
Leléka
32%YesNo
Monokate
5%YesNo
Valeriya Force
2%YesNo
ShchukaRyba
2%YesNo
Laud
1%YesNo
Mr. Vel
1%YesNo
The Elliens
1%YesNo
Khayat
1%YesNo
Molodi
1%YesNo
$23K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Republican
62%YesNo
Democrat
38%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
94%YesNo
March 31 2026
8%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
↓ 800
87%YesNo
↑ 1000
66%YesNo
↓ 500
50%YesNo
↑ 1500
25%YesNo
↑ 1600
24%YesNo
↓ 200
7%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$1M
19%YesNo
$2M
13%YesNo
$4M
11%YesNo
$5M
9%YesNo
$3M
5%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on February 4?
<80,000
24%YesNo
84,000-86,000
17%YesNo
80,000-82,000
17%YesNo
88,000-90,000
7%YesNo
90,000-92,000
3%YesNo
92,000-94,000
2%YesNo
94,000-96,000
2%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Meta (META) closes week of Jan 26 at ___?
>$690
96%YesNo
$680-$690
2%YesNo
$660-$670
0%YesNo
<$600
0%YesNo
$600-$610
0%YesNo
$620-$630
0%YesNo
$610-$620
0%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on February 1?
<412k
96%YesNo
412 - 414k
3%YesNo
416 - 418k
2%YesNo
414 - 416k
1%YesNo
>420k
0%YesNo
418 - 420k
0%YesNo
$22K Vol.politics
View details
What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?
↓ 0.14
100%YesNo
↑ 0.16
76%YesNo
↓ 0.02
6%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Edition
Yes
95%YesNo
No
5%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$21K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$21K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
48%YesNo
June 30
42%YesNo
March 31
27%YesNo
$21K Vol.geopolitics
View details
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$21K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$20K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
March 31
17%YesNo
February 28
9%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in February?
No Change
97%YesNo
Decrease
2%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
View details
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ECB Interest Rates: March 2026
No change
94%YesNo
25 bps decrease
6%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
1%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
View details
Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
12%YesNo
$500M
8%YesNo
$1.5B
6%YesNo
$800M
5%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$2B
3%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
View details
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$18K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?
March 31, 2026
20%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
View details
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
View details
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$18K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
↓ 12
100%YesNo
↑ 14
100%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
View details
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$18K Vol.geopolitics
View details
3rd largest company end of March?
Apple
68%YesNo
Amazon
2%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes
80%YesNo
No
21%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
View details
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
March 31, 2026
31%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$17K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum price on February 2?
2,600-2,700
20%YesNo
2,500-2,600
10%YesNo
<2,400
4%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
View details
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$17K Vol.politics
View details
VEO 4 released by...?
March 31
9%YesNo
February 28
7%YesNo
January 31
0%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
View details
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Democrat
83%YesNo
Republican
17%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
View details
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
View details
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Yes
67%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
83%YesNo
5.0–6.0%
10%YesNo
1.0–2.0%
6%YesNo
8.0–9.0%
1%YesNo
6.0-7.0%
1%YesNo
<1.0%
1%YesNo
9.0%+
1%YesNo
3.0–4.0%
1%YesNo
2.0–3.0%
1%YesNo
7.0–8.0%
0%YesNo
$16K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
46%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
View details
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?
February 15, 2026
100%YesNo
January 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Democrat
53%YesNo
Republican
46%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Yes
46%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Khamenei visits Russia by...?
June 30
13%YesNo
March 31
8%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
BitBoy convicted?
Yes
61%YesNo
No
40%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Democrat
54%YesNo
Republican
47%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
View details
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
↑ 1500
96%YesNo
↑ 1550
47%YesNo
↑ 1600
26%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$80M
17%YesNo
$100M
13%YesNo
$200M
7%YesNo
$300M
3%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on February 3?
2,700-2,800
25%YesNo
2,500-2,600
11%YesNo
3,300-3,400
2%YesNo
>3,400
1%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
View details
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Maryland Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?
John Ratcliffe
100%YesNo
María Corina Machado
36%YesNo
Marco Rubio
34%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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US x China Military clash before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$14K Vol.politics
View details
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Yes
74%YesNo
No
27%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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ECB rate hike in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$12K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
Yes
82%YesNo
No
18%YesNo
$12K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14
41%YesNo
$12K Vol.tech
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Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$12K Vol.tech
View details
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$39 trillion
98%YesNo
$42 trillion
13%YesNo
$12K Vol.politics
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Will Russia capture Hryshyne by...?
March 31
37%YesNo
February 28
17%YesNo
$12K Vol.geopolitics
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Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Iván Cepeda Castro
63%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$11K Vol.politics
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Jimmy Lai released by January 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$11K Vol.tech
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US recognize Somaliland by...?
December 31
0%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Democrat
91%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes
73%YesNo
No
27%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF)
45%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025?
0.4%
52%YesNo
>0.4%
46%YesNo
0.2%
27%YesNo
<0.0%
7%YesNo
$11K Vol.politics
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Houthi strike on Israel by January 31?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025?
1.5-2.0%
69%YesNo
1.0-1.5%
26%YesNo
0.5-1.0%
1%YesNo
2.0-2.5%
0%YesNo
<0.0%
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
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Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
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Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
4%YesNo
DeepSeek
3%YesNo
Moonshot
3%YesNo
Meituan
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
Yes
89%YesNo
No
12%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
59%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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GDP growth in 2026
>2.5%
78%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
13%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
7%YesNo
0.5–1.0%
6%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
5%YesNo
<0.5%
4%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
View details
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
Increase
87%YesNo
No change
7%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
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Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?
February 2
8%YesNo
February 1
7%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
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Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)
97%YesNo
Rodina
1%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
1%YesNo
New People (NL)
0%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican
88%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Canada decision in March?
No change
93%YesNo
25 bps decrease
6%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?
No Change
79%YesNo
Increase
21%YesNo
Decrease
1%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)
Google
83%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
≥3.5%
47%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
14%YesNo
<1.0%
14%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
View details
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Google
56%YesNo
DeepSeek
4%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
<200k
21%YesNo
200-300k
21%YesNo
>1m
13%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
84%YesNo
Republican
17%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
Google
69%YesNo
Anthropic
8%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$8K Vol.geopolitics
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What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
25 Gwei
12%YesNo
20 Gwei
11%YesNo
15 Gwei
11%YesNo
40 Gwei
7%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Democrat
83%YesNo
Republican
17%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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Bank of Korea decision in February?
No Change
97%YesNo
$8K Vol.politics
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US defaults on debt by 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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ECB rate cut in 2026?
Yes
38%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
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Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
December 31, 2026
79%YesNo
June 30, 2026
53%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Florida Senate Election Winner
Republican
90%YesNo
Democrat
10%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Alabama Senate Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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DeepSeek V4 released by...?
March 31
94%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Colorado Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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NATO Article 5 by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Democrat
84%YesNo
Republican
15%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$6K Vol.politics
View details
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Which company has the second best AI model end of February?
Google
79%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
39%YesNo
No
62%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
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Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
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Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
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How many different countries will Israel strike in February?
≤1
43%YesNo
3
14%YesNo
≥4
6%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
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AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
UK GDP growth in Q4 2025?
1.0-1.5%
78%YesNo
0.0-0.5%
3%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
View details
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham
86%YesNo
Paul Dans
14%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Kansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
87%YesNo
Democrat
13%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?
>10
23%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Canada recession before 2027?
Yes
45%YesNo
No
56%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
View details
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
1.9–2.1%
22%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
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Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Delaware Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
9%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of England Decision in March?
No change
84%YesNo
25 bps decrease
15%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
View details
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
69%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3AM ET
Yes
54%YesNo
No
46%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Democrat
19%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?
Tehran
45%YesNo
Nuclear
44%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
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Eurozone GDP growth in Q4 2025?
0.0-0.5%
4%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Meta (META) closes above ___ on January 30?
$670
99%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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Maine Governor Election Winner
Democrat
90%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Idaho Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
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100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
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West Virginia Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Ethereum price on February 4?
<2,600
20%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
200 or more
53%YesNo
180-199
22%YesNo
160-179
17%YesNo
120-139
13%YesNo
100-119
12%YesNo
140-159
7%YesNo
<100
7%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of February?
Google
71%YesNo
DeepSeek
17%YesNo
Z.ai
9%YesNo
xAI
9%YesNo
Anthropic
5%YesNo
Moonshot
5%YesNo
OpenAI
5%YesNo
Meituan
4%YesNo
Alibaba
4%YesNo
Baidu
3%YesNo
Mistral
2%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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What will Meta (META) hit in February 2026?
↑ $680
96%YesNo
↑ $700
94%YesNo
↑ $660
92%YesNo
↑ $730
74%YesNo
↑ $770
57%YesNo
↑ $810
52%YesNo
↑ $860
50%YesNo
↓ $640
50%YesNo
↓ $570
48%YesNo
↓ $500
47%YesNo
↓ $540
45%YesNo
↓ $450
44%YesNo
↓ $600
36%YesNo
↓ $620
8%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Bernie Sanders
2%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Yes
51%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Yes
51%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed abolished before 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Republican
9%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will $PUP receive a perp listing by March 31?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
30%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
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SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
March 31
15%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
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Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
February 28
10%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?
Yes
76%YesNo
No
25%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Drobysheve by February 28?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
355+
36%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
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South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
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Virginia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
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Arkansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
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New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Democrat
33%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Bank of Russia decision in March?
No Change
56%YesNo
Decrease
35%YesNo
Increase
5%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)
xAI
44%YesNo
Google
32%YesNo
Anthropic
19%YesNo
OpenAI
18%YesNo
Alibaba
5%YesNo
DeepSeek
4%YesNo
Moonshot
3%YesNo
Meituan
3%YesNo
Z.ai
3%YesNo
Mistral
3%YesNo
Baidu
2%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes
83%YesNo
No
18%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Google
38%YesNo
DeepSeek
22%YesNo
OpenAI
17%YesNo
Anthropic
17%YesNo
xAI
15%YesNo
Alibaba
11%YesNo
Moonshot
10%YesNo
Mistral
9%YesNo
Meituan
8%YesNo
Z.ai
8%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun
18%YesNo
Cai Qi
14%YesNo
Zhao Leji
11%YesNo
Wang Huning
10%YesNo
Zhang Shengmin
10%YesNo
Li Xi
9%YesNo
Wang Yi
8%YesNo
Ding Xuexiang
7%YesNo
Li Qiang
6%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the #3 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)
Google
30%YesNo
xAI
24%YesNo
DeepSeek
16%YesNo
Z.ai
11%YesNo
Moonshot
11%YesNo
OpenAI
10%YesNo
Meituan
9%YesNo
Mistral
8%YesNo
Baidu
8%YesNo
Alibaba
8%YesNo
Anthropic
8%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
June 30
32%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by February 28?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Illinois Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Swiss National Bank decision in March?
No Change
93%YesNo
Decrease
5%YesNo
Increase
4%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Illinois Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
September 30
82%YesNo
December 31
81%YesNo
June 30
56%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?
No Change
82%YesNo
Increase
17%YesNo
Decrease
3%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$974 Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$936 Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Mexico Decision in March?
No change
76%YesNo
Decrease
23%YesNo
Increase
6%YesNo
$926 Vol.politics
View details
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 50
83%YesNo
↑ 60
82%YesNo
↑ 70
60%YesNo
↑ 80
52%YesNo
↓ 30
41%YesNo
$925 Vol.tech
View details
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of Olympics for doping?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$915 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$902 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$899 Vol.tech
View details
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$886 Vol.elections
View details
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$817 Vol.elections
View details
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$804 Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$768 Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$752 Vol.tech
View details
Florida Governor Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$746 Vol.elections
View details
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$685 Vol.politics
View details
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$667 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$664 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Yes
52%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$648 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$630 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$615 Vol.tech
View details
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$549 Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
40%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$545 Vol.tech
View details
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
February 1
60%YesNo
February 6
57%YesNo
February 7
57%YesNo
February 5
57%YesNo
February 2
57%YesNo
February 3
56%YesNo
February 4
56%YesNo
$522 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
74%YesNo
Democrat
26%YesNo
$499 Vol.elections
View details
Oregon Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$474 Vol.elections
View details
Texas Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$438 Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin daily candle change in 2026?
-6%
85%YesNo
6%
84%YesNo
7%
81%YesNo
8%
71%YesNo
-7%
60%YesNo
10%
56%YesNo
-8%
56%YesNo
-11%
55%YesNo
9%
55%YesNo
-10%
55%YesNo
11%
55%YesNo
-9%
54%YesNo
12%
52%YesNo
-12%
52%YesNo
$414 Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by February 28?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$412 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Yes
58%YesNo
No
42%YesNo
$408 Vol.tech
View details
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$380 Vol.elections
View details
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
Yes
47%YesNo
No
53%YesNo
$311 Vol.tech
View details
Meta "Mango" model released by...?
June 30
86%YesNo
March 31
47%YesNo
$294 Vol.tech
View details
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
Yes
81%YesNo
No
20%YesNo
$290 Vol.politics
View details
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
3%YesNo
$269 Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$263 Vol.tech
View details
Colorado Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$251 Vol.elections
View details
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
December 31, 2026
70%YesNo
June 30
45%YesNo
$217 Vol.politics
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in March?
No Change
51%YesNo
Decrease
44%YesNo
Increase
43%YesNo
$202 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$196 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$187 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump announces new drug boat strike by...?
February 7
51%YesNo
February 14
39%YesNo
$176 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$169 Vol.tech
View details
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
December 31
66%YesNo
June 30
26%YesNo
$144 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$136 Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$135 Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$124 Vol.tech
View details
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
February 6
38%YesNo
February 7
38%YesNo
February 5
36%YesNo
February 3
35%YesNo
February 4
35%YesNo
February 1
35%YesNo
February 2
35%YesNo
$122 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
Yes
54%YesNo
No
46%YesNo
$110 Vol.tech
View details
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
4.0%+
32%YesNo
2.5–2.9%
27%YesNo
3.0-3.4%
27%YesNo
3.5-3.9%
27%YesNo
1.5–1.9%
25%YesNo
2.0–2.4%
25%YesNo
1.0–1.4%
23%YesNo
<1.0%
14%YesNo
$76 Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$68 Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) Up or Down on January 30?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$57 Vol.tech
View details
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$38 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$29 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$26 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$26 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$26 Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$24 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$20 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$20 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$20 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$20 Vol.tech
View details
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$18 Vol.tech
View details
Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$16 Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
45%+
73%YesNo
50%+
52%YesNo
60%+
36%YesNo
70%+
24%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
40%+
70%YesNo
45%+
59%YesNo
50%+
50%YesNo
55%+
49%YesNo
60%+
43%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on January 30?
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
50%+
50%YesNo
35%+
50%YesNo
40%+
50%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
50%YesNo
30%+
50%YesNo
40%+
50%YesNo
50%+
47%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
30%+
50%YesNo
35%+
50%YesNo
45%+
50%YesNo
$1 Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
56%YesNo
50%+
50%YesNo
30%+
50%YesNo
40%+
50%YesNo
$1 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 30?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum ETF Flows on January 28?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 70
77%YesNo
↓ 50
55%YesNo
↑ 80
48%YesNo
↑ 90
29%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 9PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 11PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 1AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum ETF Flows on February 2?
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 9AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details