Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
24%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
5%YesNo
Kamala Harris
4%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
4%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
4%YesNo
James Talarico
3%YesNo
Andy Beshear
2%YesNo
J.B. Pritzker
2%YesNo
Jon Stewart
2%YesNo
Mark Kelly
2%YesNo
Ruben Gallego
2%YesNo
Wes Moore
2%YesNo
Ro Khanna
2%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
2%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Stephen A. Smith
1%YesNo
Oprah Winfrey
1%YesNo
Cory Booker
1%YesNo
Rahm Emanuel
1%YesNo
Mark Cuban
1%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%YesNo
John Fetterman
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Chelsea Clinton
1%YesNo
Chris Murphy
1%YesNo
George Clooney
1%YesNo
Liz Cheney
1%YesNo
Jared Polis
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
MrBeast
1%YesNo
Roy Cooper
1%YesNo
Gina Raimondo
1%YesNo
Raphael Warnock
1%YesNo
Barack Obama
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Andrew Yang
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Phil Murphy
1%YesNo
Hunter Biden
1%YesNo
Jasmine Crockett
1%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
1%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
1%YesNo
Beto O’Rourke
1%YesNo
$949m Vol.elections
View details
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
36%YesNo
Marco Rubio
22%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
5%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
3%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
2%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Thomas Massie
2%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
2%YesNo
Rand Paul
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Ted Cruz
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%YesNo
Brian Kemp
1%YesNo
Tom Brady
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
1%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
1%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
1%YesNo
Josh Hawley
1%YesNo
Katie Britt
1%YesNo
John Thune
1%YesNo
Kristi Noem
1%YesNo
Joe Kent
1%YesNo
Steve Bannon
1%YesNo
Byron Donalds
1%YesNo
Erika Kirk
1%YesNo
Mike Pence
1%YesNo
$500m Vol.elections
View details
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
18%YesNo
Gavin Newsom
17%YesNo
Marco Rubio
11%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
3%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
3%YesNo
Kamala Harris
3%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
2%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
2%YesNo
JB Pritzker
2%YesNo
Andy Beshear
2%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
2%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%YesNo
James Talarico
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
1%YesNo
Jamie Dimon
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Thomas Massie
1%YesNo
Wes Moore
1%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Ro Khanna
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
Stephen Smith
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
LeBron James
0%YesNo
$477m Vol.elections
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
↑ 70,000
100%YesNo
↓ 65,000
100%YesNo
↓ 60,000
1%YesNo
↓ 55,000
0%YesNo
↑ 150,000
0%YesNo
↑ 110,000
0%YesNo
↑ 105,000
0%YesNo
↑ 100,000
0%YesNo
↑ 95,000
0%YesNo
↑ 90,000
0%YesNo
↑ 85,000
0%YesNo
↑ 80,000
0%YesNo
↓ 50,000
0%YesNo
↓ 45,000
0%YesNo
↓ 40,000
0%YesNo
↓ 35,000
0%YesNo
↓ 30,000
0%YesNo
↓ 25,000
0%YesNo
↓ 20,000
0%YesNo
$99m Vol.tech
View details
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
42%YesNo
June 30
9%YesNo
April 30
2%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$91m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
64%YesNo
María Corina Machado
14%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
14%YesNo
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%YesNo
Edmundo González
1%YesNo
Donald Trump
1%YesNo
No Head of State
1%YesNo
Vladimir Padrino López
0%YesNo
Jorge Rodríguez
0%YesNo
Marco Rubio
0%YesNo
Dinorah Figuera
0%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
0%YesNo
Frank Donovan
0%YesNo
Evan Pettus
0%YesNo
Dan Caine
0%YesNo
Richard Grenell
0%YesNo
$79m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
December 31
74%YesNo
June 30
64%YesNo
May 31
50%YesNo
April 30
34%YesNo
April 15
19%YesNo
April 7
8%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$66m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$61m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed decision in April?
No change
98%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
25+ bps increase
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$40m Vol.politics
View details
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Péter Magyar
63%YesNo
Viktor Orbán
38%YesNo
István Kapitány
0%YesNo
László Toroczkai
0%YesNo
János Lázár
0%YesNo
Klára Dobrev
0%YesNo
$40m Vol.elections
View details
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
42%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro
40%YesNo
Renan Santos
6%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
6%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado
3%YesNo
Romeu Zema
1%YesNo
Tarcisio de Freitas
1%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
1%YesNo
Geraldo Alckmin
0%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Ratinho Júnior
0%YesNo
Eduardo Leite
0%YesNo
Camilo Santana
0%YesNo
$35m Vol.elections
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$29m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↓ 85,000
100%YesNo
↓ 65,000
100%YesNo
↓ 75,000
100%YesNo
↓ 60,000
100%YesNo
↑ 70,000
100%YesNo
↓ 55,000
76%YesNo
↓ 50,000
65%YesNo
↑ 80,000
61%YesNo
↓ 45,000
51%YesNo
↑ 90,000
40%YesNo
↓ 40,000
38%YesNo
↑ 100,000
30%YesNo
↓ 35,000
30%YesNo
↑ 110,000
20%YesNo
↓ 30,000
20%YesNo
↑ 120,000
17%YesNo
↓ 25,000
16%YesNo
↑ 130,000
13%YesNo
↑ 140,000
10%YesNo
↓ 20,000
10%YesNo
↑ 160,000
9%YesNo
↑ 150,000
9%YesNo
↓ 15,000
8%YesNo
↑ 180,000
7%YesNo
↑ 170,000
7%YesNo
↑ 190,000
6%YesNo
↓ 10,000
5%YesNo
↑ 200,000
5%YesNo
↑ 250,000
4%YesNo
↓ 5,000
4%YesNo
↑ 500,000
2%YesNo
↑ 1,000,000
2%YesNo
$28m Vol.tech
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
↓ 2,000
100%YesNo
↓ 1,800
1%YesNo
↑ 2,400
0%YesNo
↑ 4,000
0%YesNo
↑ 3,800
0%YesNo
↑ 3,600
0%YesNo
↑ 3,400
0%YesNo
↑ 3,200
0%YesNo
↑ 3,000
0%YesNo
↑ 2,800
0%YesNo
↑ 2,600
0%YesNo
↓ 1,600
0%YesNo
↓ 1,400
0%YesNo
↓ 1,200
0%YesNo
↓ 1,000
0%YesNo
↓ 800
0%YesNo
↓ 600
0%YesNo
↓ 400
0%YesNo
↓ 200
0%YesNo
$25m Vol.tech
View details
Next French Presidential Election
Édouard Philippe
30%YesNo
Jordan Bardella
23%YesNo
Marine Le Pen
8%YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
7%YesNo
Dominique de Villepin
5%YesNo
Raphaël Glucksmann
4%YesNo
Bruno Retailleau
3%YesNo
Sarah Knafo
3%YesNo
François Hollande
3%YesNo
David Lisnard
3%YesNo
Gabriel Attal
2%YesNo
Sébastien Lecornu
1%YesNo
Gérald Darmanin
1%YesNo
Éric Zemmour
1%YesNo
Jean Castex
1%YesNo
Juan Branco
1%YesNo
François Ruffin
1%YesNo
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%YesNo
François Asselineau
0%YesNo
Clémence Guetté
0%YesNo
Marine Tondelier
0%YesNo
Olivier Faure
0%YesNo
Ségolène Royal
0%YesNo
Michel Barnier
0%YesNo
François Bayrou
0%YesNo
Yaël Braun-Pivet
0%YesNo
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
0%YesNo
Manuel Bompard
0%YesNo
Xavier Bertrand
0%YesNo
Laurent Wauquiez
0%YesNo
Fabien Roussel
0%YesNo
Valérie Pécresse
0%YesNo
Élisabeth Borne
0%YesNo
Clémentine Autain
0%YesNo
Carole Delga
0%YesNo
Mathilde Panot
0%YesNo
$25m Vol.elections
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$23m Vol.geopolitics
View details
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
13%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$22m Vol.tech
View details
Largest Company end of March?
NVIDIA
100%YesNo
Apple
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Alphabet
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
$20m Vol.tech
View details
What will happen before GTA VI?
Drake releases Iceman
91%YesNo
New Rihanna Album
63%YesNo
GPT-6 released
59%YesNo
New Playboi Carti Album
56%YesNo
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
55%YesNo
Trump out as President
53%YesNo
China invades Taiwan
52%YesNo
Bitcoin hits $1m
49%YesNo
Jesus Christ returns
49%YesNo
$20m Vol.politics
View details
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
81%YesNo
May 31
74%YesNo
April 30, 2026
2%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$19m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%YesNo
Caesars Entertainment
68%YesNo
Pizza Hut
42%YesNo
Perplexity AI
28%YesNo
PayPal
27%YesNo
Ubisoft
26%YesNo
Viking Therapeutics
25%YesNo
GitLab
22%YesNo
Lovable
21%YesNo
BP
19%YesNo
Nebius Group
19%YesNo
Zoom Video Communications
15%YesNo
Snapchat
14%YesNo
Anthropic
13%YesNo
OpenAI
9%YesNo
$17m Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Anthropic
100%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$16m Vol.tech
View details
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
35%YesNo
1 (25 bps)
25%YesNo
2 (50 bps)
18%YesNo
3 (75 bps)
10%YesNo
4 (100 bps)
6%YesNo
5 (125 bps)
2%YesNo
6 (150 bps)
1%YesNo
12+ (300+ bps)
1%YesNo
7 (175 bps)
1%YesNo
8 (200 bps)
1%YesNo
9 (225 bps)
0%YesNo
10 (250 bps)
0%YesNo
11 (275 bps)
0%YesNo
$15m Vol.politics
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$15m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
14%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$14m Vol.geopolitics
View details
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$600M
44%YesNo
>$800M
34%YesNo
>$1B
26%YesNo
>$1.5B
12%YesNo
>$2B
11%YesNo
>$3B
5%YesNo
>$4B
3%YesNo
>$6B
1%YesNo
$14m Vol.tech
View details
Trump out as President by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$13m Vol.elections
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$13m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
65%YesNo
John Cornyn
34%YesNo
Dawn Buckingham
0%YesNo
Beth Van Duyne
0%YesNo
Wesley Hunt
0%YesNo
$13m Vol.elections
View details
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
26%YesNo
June 30
10%YesNo
May 31
5%YesNo
April 30
3%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$13m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$12m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$12m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya
11%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
9%YesNo
Donald Trump
8%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
5%YesNo
International Court of Justice
4%YesNo
UNRWA
4%YesNo
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4%YesNo
Greta Thunberg
3%YesNo
Narendra Modi
3%YesNo
Elon Musk
2%YesNo
Charlie Kirk
2%YesNo
António Guterres
2%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
2%YesNo
Xi Jinping
2%YesNo
Julian Assange
2%YesNo
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
2%YesNo
Khaled Mashal
1%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
1%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%YesNo
$12m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
Saudi Arabia
1%YesNo
UAE
1%YesNo
Qatar
1%YesNo
Bahrain
1%YesNo
UK
0%YesNo
Turkey
0%YesNo
Kuwait
0%YesNo
Jordan
0%YesNo
Any E.U. Country
0%YesNo
France
0%YesNo
Germany
0%YesNo
Oman
0%YesNo
Canada
0%YesNo
$11m Vol.geopolitics
View details
edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
80%YesNo
$400M
57%YesNo
$500M
38%YesNo
$600M
17%YesNo
$700M
10%YesNo
$1B
5%YesNo
$2B
1%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$3B
0%YesNo
$5B
0%YesNo
$10B
0%YesNo
$11m Vol.tech
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$11m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Starmer out by...?
December 31
58%YesNo
June 30
33%YesNo
April 30
5%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$10m Vol.politics
View details
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh
76%YesNo
Oh Se-hoon
15%YesNo
Park Ju-min
6%YesNo
Jeon Hyun-heui
0%YesNo
Hong Ihk-pyo
0%YesNo
Cho Eun-hee
0%YesNo
Ahn Cheol-soo
0%YesNo
Park Yong-jin
0%YesNo
Cho Kuk
0%YesNo
Na Kyung-won
0%YesNo
Park Hong-keun
0%YesNo
Seo Young-kyo
0%YesNo
Kang Hoon-sik
0%YesNo
Han Dong-hoon
0%YesNo
$9m Vol.elections
View details
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 31
80%YesNo
June 30
65%YesNo
May 15
41%YesNo
April 30
31%YesNo
April 15
18%YesNo
April 7
6%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$9m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Colombia Presidential Election
Iván Cepeda Castro
44%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
41%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
14%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
1%YesNo
Claudia López (IND)
0%YesNo
Carlos Felipe Córdoba
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
0%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Vicky Dávila (IND)
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez (IND)
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)
0%YesNo
$9m Vol.elections
View details
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
37%YesNo
September 30
19%YesNo
June 30
8%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
73%YesNo
April 30
44%YesNo
April 15
24%YesNo
April 7
11%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
California Governor Election Winner
Eric Swalwell
62%YesNo
Tom Steyer
13%YesNo
Steve Hilton
8%YesNo
Matt Mahan
7%YesNo
Elaine Culotti
4%YesNo
Katie Porter
4%YesNo
Chad Bianco
3%YesNo
Kyle Langford
1%YesNo
Stephen Cloobeck
0%YesNo
Eleni Kounalakis
0%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%YesNo
Nicole Shanahan
0%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
0%YesNo
Toni Atkins
0%YesNo
Tony Thurmond
0%YesNo
Xavier Becerra
0%YesNo
Michael Younger
0%YesNo
Rick Caruso
0%YesNo
Betty Yee
0%YesNo
Leo Zacky
0%YesNo
Kamala Harris
0%YesNo
Alex Padilla
0%YesNo
Butch Ware
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.elections
View details
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
43%YesNo
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
38%YesNo
5
27%YesNo
6
14%YesNo
3
10%YesNo
7
6%YesNo
10
2%YesNo
8
2%YesNo
9
1%YesNo
11
1%YesNo
12
0%YesNo
13
0%YesNo
14
0%YesNo
15+
0%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
1
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
September 30, 2026
9%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
88%YesNo
June 30, 2026
62%YesNo
April 30, 2026
22%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
56%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi
13%YesNo
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%YesNo
Hassan Khomeini
5%YesNo
Hassan Rouhani
3%YesNo
No Head of State
3%YesNo
Sadegh Larijani
2%YesNo
Alireza Arafi
2%YesNo
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1%YesNo
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%YesNo
Mohammad Khatami
1%YesNo
Maryam Rajavi
1%YesNo
Nasir Hosseini
1%YesNo
Ali Asghar Hejazi
1%YesNo
Abbas Araghchi
0%YesNo
Hassan Shariatmadari
0%YesNo
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
0%YesNo
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
0%YesNo
Ahmad Vahidi
0%YesNo
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
0%YesNo
Navid Shomali
0%YesNo
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
0%YesNo
Saeed Jalili
0%YesNo
Mohsen Araki
0%YesNo
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
0%YesNo
Ali Motahari
0%YesNo
Massoud Rajavi
0%YesNo
Reza Pirzadeh
0%YesNo
Mustafa Hijri
0%YesNo
Sadegh Mahsouli
0%YesNo
Ali Larijani
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
60%YesNo
$300M
45%YesNo
$500M
31%YesNo
$1B
14%YesNo
$2B
7%YesNo
$3B
3%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$5m Vol.elections
View details
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
IPOs before 2027?
Once Upon a Farm
100%YesNo
Wealthfront
100%YesNo
SpaceX
94%YesNo
Cerebras
92%YesNo
Discord
62%YesNo
Ledger
44%YesNo
Anthropic
40%YesNo
Databricks
39%YesNo
OpenAI
37%YesNo
Deel
36%YesNo
Canva
33%YesNo
Remote
33%YesNo
Ramp
28%YesNo
SHEIN
27%YesNo
Anduril Industries
24%YesNo
Epic Games
24%YesNo
Freddie Mac
24%YesNo
Ripple Labs
23%YesNo
Celonis
22%YesNo
Vanta
22%YesNo
Revolut
19%YesNo
Anduril
19%YesNo
Anysphere (Cursor)
18%YesNo
Rippling
18%YesNo
Mistral AI
18%YesNo
ByteDance
18%YesNo
Applied Intuition
17%YesNo
Waymo
16%YesNo
Stripe
14%YesNo
Glean
13%YesNo
Fannie Mae
12%YesNo
Brex
8%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
April 30
46%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$5m Vol.politics
View details
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
10%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
100%YesNo
$75M
97%YesNo
$100M
60%YesNo
$200M
1%YesNo
$300M
0%YesNo
$500M
0%YesNo
$800M
0%YesNo
$1B
0%YesNo
$2B
0%YesNo
$3B
0%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed Decision in June?
No change
89%YesNo
25 bps decrease
6%YesNo
25 bps increase
5%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
1%YesNo
$5m Vol.politics
View details
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 30
85%YesNo
Other EU country
4%YesNo
Gulf country
2%YesNo
United States
2%YesNo
Russia
2%YesNo
Turkey
1%YesNo
China
1%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
Belarus
1%YesNo
Finland
0%YesNo
Japan
0%YesNo
Ukraine
0%YesNo
South Korea
0%YesNo
Australia
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
71%YesNo
New People (NL)
20%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
7%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
50%YesNo
R Senate, D House
36%YesNo
Republicans Sweep
14%YesNo
D Senate, R House
1%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
85%YesNo
Republican Party
16%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
46%YesNo
Naftali Bennett
23%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot
18%YesNo
Yair Lapid
3%YesNo
Benny Gantz
2%YesNo
Yariv Levin
2%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman
1%YesNo
Itamar Ben Gvir
1%YesNo
Yair Golan
1%YesNo
Gideon Sa’ar
1%YesNo
Yossi Cohen
1%YesNo
Ayelet Shaked
0%YesNo
Moshe Feiglin
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Will another country strike Iran by...?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
30%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
November 7
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$X
31%YesNo
$SEX
2%YesNo
$SPAX
2%YesNo
$SX
1%YesNo
$SPACE
1%YesNo
$STAR
1%YesNo
$MARS
1%YesNo
$SPC
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,000
100%YesNo
↓ 2,500
100%YesNo
↓ 1,500
68%YesNo
↑ 3,500
33%YesNo
↓ 1,000
30%YesNo
↑ 4,000
21%YesNo
↓ 800
19%YesNo
↑ 4,500
14%YesNo
↑ 5,500
13%YesNo
↑ 5,000
13%YesNo
↑ 6,000
8%YesNo
↑ 7,000
7%YesNo
↑ 7,500
7%YesNo
↑ 6,500
7%YesNo
↑ 8,000
5%YesNo
↑ 10,000
4%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
11%YesNo
by June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
by March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
by September 30, 2025
0%YesNo
by December 31, 2025
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Israel
100%YesNo
Jordan
100%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
100%YesNo
Qatar
100%YesNo
Iraq
100%YesNo
Oman
100%YesNo
Bahrain
98%YesNo
UAE
85%YesNo
Georgia
1%YesNo
Azerbaijan
1%YesNo
Pakistan
1%YesNo
Yemen
1%YesNo
Hungary
1%YesNo
Ukraine
1%YesNo
Cyprus
1%YesNo
India
1%YesNo
Germany
1%YesNo
Syria
0%YesNo
France
0%YesNo
Turkey
0%YesNo
Poland
0%YesNo
Afghanistan
0%YesNo
Spain
0%YesNo
Italy
0%YesNo
UK
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
79%YesNo
Apple
12%YesNo
Alphabet
7%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
1%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
March 31
99%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Israel
100%YesNo
Turkiye
100%YesNo
Hungary
100%YesNo
India
2%YesNo
U.K.
1%YesNo
Belgium
1%YesNo
Sweden
1%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
France
1%YesNo
Germany
1%YesNo
Norway
1%YesNo
Brazil
1%YesNo
Finland
1%YesNo
Russia
1%YesNo
Denmark
0%YesNo
Spain
0%YesNo
Palestine
0%YesNo
Netherlands
0%YesNo
Italy
0%YesNo
China
0%YesNo
Ukraine
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on March 31?
60,000
100%YesNo
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
97%YesNo
66,000
68%YesNo
68,000
4%YesNo
70,000
1%YesNo
72,000
0%YesNo
74,000
0%YesNo
76,000
0%YesNo
78,000
0%YesNo
80,000
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
23%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Military action against Iran ends on...?
Military action through March 31
100%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
61%YesNo
Google
24%YesNo
OpenAI
7%YesNo
xAI
4%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Claude 5 released by…?
June 30, 2026
63%YesNo
May 31, 2026
54%YesNo
April 30, 2026
25%YesNo
March 31, 2026
2%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
US strike on Cuba by...?
December 31
38%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
94%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
4%YesNo
900B–1T
1%YesNo
600B–700B
0%YesNo
700B–800B
0%YesNo
500B–600B
0%YesNo
<500B
0%YesNo
800B–900B
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
35%YesNo
$500M
28%YesNo
$700M
23%YesNo
$1B
18%YesNo
$2B
8%YesNo
$3B
6%YesNo
$4B
3%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
2nd largest company end of March?
Apple
100%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Alphabet
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
NVIDIA
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
June 30
20%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
7%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
July 18
0%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
July 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
Anthropic
90%YesNo
Google
5%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 31
15%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
23%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
December 31
23%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
March 31
91%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
79%YesNo
$150M
61%YesNo
$200M
31%YesNo
$300M
19%YesNo
$400M
8%YesNo
$500M
5%YesNo
$800M
2%YesNo
$1B
1%YesNo
$3B
0%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$6B
0%YesNo
$2B
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Bert Mizusawa
35%YesNo
Chuck Smith
30%YesNo
David Williams
22%YesNo
Al Mina
8%YesNo
Kim Farington
7%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears
2%YesNo
Alex De Paula
1%YesNo
Bryce Reeves
1%YesNo
Jason Miyares
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
15%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Graham Platner
86%YesNo
Janet Mills
14%YesNo
Chellie Pingree
0%YesNo
Jared Golden
0%YesNo
Dan Kleban
0%YesNo
Jordan Wood
0%YesNo
Troy Jackson
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Iran military action against Israel on...?
March 31
98%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
MegaETH airdrop by...?
June 30, 2026
45%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
20%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
June 30
53%YesNo
April 30
13%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Macron out by...?
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
13%YesNo
September 30, 2026
10%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Russian strike on Poland by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
80%
100%YesNo
75%
100%YesNo
70%
100%YesNo
90%
1%YesNo
85%
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Iván Cepeda Castro
77%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
12%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
3%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
1%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán
1%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo
1%YesNo
Vicky Dávila
1%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez
1%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar
1%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo
1%YesNo
Claudia López
1%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo
1%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
62%YesNo
No
39%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
16%YesNo
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
55%YesNo
$300M
30%YesNo
$500M
16%YesNo
$800M
6%YesNo
$1B
6%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
78%YesNo
Qatar / UAE
3%YesNo
US
3%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
2%YesNo
Turkey
2%YesNo
Switzerland
2%YesNo
Russia
1%YesNo
China
1%YesNo
Belarus
1%YesNo
Italy / Vatican
1%YesNo
India
1%YesNo
Ukraine
1%YesNo
Kazakhstan
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
When will the DHS shutdown end?
After March 31
100%YesNo
March 28-31
0%YesNo
Before February 16
0%YesNo
February 16-19
0%YesNo
February 20-23
0%YesNo
February 24-27
0%YesNo
February 28-March 3
0%YesNo
March 24-27
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
90%YesNo
Anthropic
4%YesNo
OpenAI
4%YesNo
Discord
1%YesNo
Kraken
1%YesNo
Stripe
0%YesNo
Databricks
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Perplexity AI
0%YesNo
Revolut
0%YesNo
Waymo
0%YesNo
SHEIN
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
June 30, 2026
24%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
59%YesNo
Republican
42%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Who visited Epstein's Island?
Richard Branson
20%YesNo
Kevin Spacey
19%YesNo
Steve Bannon
13%YesNo
Woody Allen
12%YesNo
Harvey Weinstein
8%YesNo
Noam Chomsky
8%YesNo
Bill Gates
7%YesNo
Bill Clinton
6%YesNo
Bill Cosby
5%YesNo
Michael Jackson
4%YesNo
Donald Trump
4%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
3%YesNo
Peter Attia
3%YesNo
Elon Musk
3%YesNo
Jay-Z
3%YesNo
Marco Rubio
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?
March 31
11%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
61%YesNo
<500B
11%YesNo
1T–1.25T
9%YesNo
750B–1T
6%YesNo
1.25T–1.5T
4%YesNo
500–750B
3%YesNo
1.5T+
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T-2.0T
52%YesNo
2.0T-2.5T
24%YesNo
1.0T-1.5T
10%YesNo
2.5T-3.0T
5%YesNo
3.0T-3.5T
3%YesNo
<1.0T
3%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
3%YesNo
3.5T+
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
June 30
14%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US strike on Colombia by...?
December 31
22%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
9%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
61%YesNo
Apple
18%YesNo
Alphabet
13%YesNo
Microsoft
2%YesNo
Tesla
2%YesNo
SpaceX
2%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
2%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B
67%YesNo
$1T
57%YesNo
$1.2T
55%YesNo
$1.4T
38%YesNo
$1.6T
34%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
59%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Anthropic
100%YesNo
OpenAI
28%YesNo
xAI
15%YesNo
Alibaba
10%YesNo
DeepSeek
7%YesNo
Mistral
7%YesNo
Meta
7%YesNo
Z.ai
6%YesNo
Baidu
4%YesNo
Nvidia
4%YesNo
Meituan
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Super Heavy booster explodes?
60%YesNo
April 30
58%YesNo
Successful splash down?
40%YesNo
April 14
16%YesNo
April 21
13%YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
8%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
June 30
24%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
20%YesNo
June 30
10%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
51%YesNo
Republican Party
49%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Russia nuclear test by...?
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk
89%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
2%YesNo
Jensen Huang
2%YesNo
Larry Page
1%YesNo
Warren Buffett
1%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
1%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
1%YesNo
Sergey Brin
1%YesNo
Larry Ellison
1%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
27%YesNo
$400M
16%YesNo
$800M
12%YesNo
$1B
11%YesNo
$2B
7%YesNo
$7B
5%YesNo
$3B
4%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$10B
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.5%
100%YesNo
↓ 3.25%
63%YesNo
↓ 3.0%
32%YesNo
↓ 2.75%
18%YesNo
↓ 2.5%
15%YesNo
↓ 2.0%
11%YesNo
↓ 2.25%
11%YesNo
↑ 4.25%
10%YesNo
↓ 1.75%
9%YesNo
↓ 1.5%
9%YesNo
↓ 0.5%
7%YesNo
↓ 0.25%
7%YesNo
↑ 5.25%
6%YesNo
↓ 0%
6%YesNo
↑ 4.5%
5%YesNo
↑ 5.5%
4%YesNo
↑ 4.75%
4%YesNo
↑ 5.0%
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
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US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
June 30
14%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
June 30
9%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
64%YesNo
October Meeting
50%YesNo
September Meeting
42%YesNo
July Meeting
25%YesNo
June Meeting
12%YesNo
April Meeting
2%YesNo
January Meeting
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
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Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Morgan Stanley
30%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
28%YesNo
Bank of America
23%YesNo
JPMorgan
1%YesNo
Citigroup
0%YesNo
Barclays
0%YesNo
UBS
0%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
0%YesNo
Wells Fargo
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
OpenAI
99%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds
84%YesNo
James Fishback
11%YesNo
Jay Collins
3%YesNo
Casey DeSantis
1%YesNo
Wilton Simpson
0%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
0%YesNo
Jimmy Patronis
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
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Elon Musk Net Worth on March 31?
<640b
96%YesNo
640-650b
3%YesNo
650-660b
2%YesNo
670-680b
1%YesNo
710b+
0%YesNo
690-700b
0%YesNo
700-710b
0%YesNo
660-670b
0%YesNo
680-690b
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
5–15%
99%YesNo
15–25%
1%YesNo
25–35%
0%YesNo
35%+
0%YesNo
<5%
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Houthi strike on Israel by...?
April 15
34%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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How long will the DHS shutdown last?
5+ days
100%YesNo
3+ days
100%YesNo
7+ days
100%YesNo
10+ days
100%YesNo
14+ days
100%YesNo
44+ days
100%YesNo
48+ days
100%YesNo
52+ days
95%YesNo
60+ days
85%YesNo
70+ days
51%YesNo
80+ days
31%YesNo
90+ days
23%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
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Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
December 31
8%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
39%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
64%YesNo
$400M
25%YesNo
$600M
13%YesNo
$800M
8%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$1.5B
1%YesNo
$2B
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Israel military action against Yemen by...?
June 30
86%YesNo
May 31
81%YesNo
April 30
76%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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3rd largest company end of March?
Alphabet
100%YesNo
Apple
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Oracle
0%YesNo
NVIDIA
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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French election called by...?
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
September 15
0%YesNo
October 10
0%YesNo
October 17
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
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Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
100%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
June 30
16%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q1 2026?
Ciena (CIEN)
100%YesNo
Pure Storage (PSTG)
0%YesNo
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
0%YesNo
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
0%YesNo
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
0%YesNo
Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Israel military action against Gaza on...?
March 31
93%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%YesNo
Walmart
15%YesNo
Microsoft
11%YesNo
Amazon
10%YesNo
Meta
9%YesNo
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
6%YesNo
AppLovin
5%YesNo
$994K Vol.tech
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Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
72%YesNo
None by June 30, 2027
20%YesNo
Netflix
1%YesNo
Comcast
0%YesNo
$966K Vol.tech
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Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$948K Vol.geopolitics
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Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
Vivek Ramaswamy
97%YesNo
Casey Putsch
3%YesNo
Philip Funderburg
0%YesNo
$944K Vol.elections
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SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
53%YesNo
July 31
13%YesNo
$932K Vol.tech
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US recession by end of 2026?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$929K Vol.politics
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India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
35%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 14
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$926K Vol.geopolitics
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US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$921K Vol.geopolitics
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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
60%YesNo
June 30
37%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$917K Vol.geopolitics
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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
96%YesNo
600B+
2%YesNo
300–400B
1%YesNo
400–600B
1%YesNo
200–300B
0%YesNo
100–200B
0%YesNo
<100B
0%YesNo
$914K Vol.tech
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Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
June 30
28%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$910K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
December 31
25%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$906K Vol.geopolitics
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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
93%YesNo
>$1.2T
92%YesNo
>$1.4T
86%YesNo
>$1.6T
73%YesNo
>$1.8T
62%YesNo
>$2T
41%YesNo
>$2.2T
31%YesNo
>$2.4T
22%YesNo
>$3T
12%YesNo
$905K Vol.tech
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DeepSeek V4 released by...?
April 15
57%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$900K Vol.tech
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Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Yes
73%YesNo
No
28%YesNo
$897K Vol.tech
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Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)
95%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%YesNo
New People (NL)
1%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
1%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
1%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
$894K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
April 30
8%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$893K Vol.geopolitics
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Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
35%YesNo
Druzkhivka
18%YesNo
Sloviansk
16%YesNo
Kramatorsk
13%YesNo
Sumy
7%YesNo
Zaporizhia
7%YesNo
Kherson
5%YesNo
Kharkiv
5%YesNo
$886K Vol.geopolitics
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Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
32%YesNo
$500M
17%YesNo
$800M
10%YesNo
$1B
6%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$4B
2%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$5B
1%YesNo
$867K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
April 30
12%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$838K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?
350k–375k
78%YesNo
<350k
18%YesNo
375k–400k
5%YesNo
400k–425k
0%YesNo
500k+
0%YesNo
475k–500k
0%YesNo
425k–450k
0%YesNo
450k–475k
0%YesNo
$818K Vol.tech
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Gemini 3.5 released by...?
June 30
42%YesNo
May 31
23%YesNo
April 30
9%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$813K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
84%YesNo
xAI
5%YesNo
Google
4%YesNo
OpenAI
2%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
$805K Vol.tech
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Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
83%YesNo
<15B
13%YesNo
15–20B
2%YesNo
30B+
1%YesNo
20–25B
1%YesNo
25–30B
1%YesNo
$803K Vol.tech
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New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Greg Hull
57%YesNo
Duke Rodriguez
34%YesNo
Steve Lanier
2%YesNo
Brian Cillessen
1%YesNo
Belinda Robertson
1%YesNo
Judith Nakamura
1%YesNo
Susana Martinez
0%YesNo
John Sanchez
0%YesNo
Mark Murphy
0%YesNo
$791K Vol.elections
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Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman
46%YesNo
Karen Bass
30%YesNo
Spencer Pratt
14%YesNo
Rae Huang
7%YesNo
Adam Miller
3%YesNo
Rick Caruso
1%YesNo
Gina Viola
1%YesNo
Austin Beutner
0%YesNo
Asaad Alnajjar
0%YesNo
Monica Rodriguez
0%YesNo
Lindsey Horvath
0%YesNo
$786K Vol.elections
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Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
March 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$765K Vol.geopolitics
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Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30
15%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$758K Vol.geopolitics
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SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
December 31
91%YesNo
September 30
85%YesNo
June 30
59%YesNo
June 15
35%YesNo
May 31
23%YesNo
April 30
3%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$751K Vol.tech
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Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
April 30
36%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$745K Vol.geopolitics
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Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$744K Vol.politics
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Bitcoin above ___ on April 1?
60,000
99%YesNo
62,000
98%YesNo
64,000
88%YesNo
66,000
58%YesNo
68,000
22%YesNo
70,000
5%YesNo
72,000
1%YesNo
74,000
1%YesNo
76,000
0%YesNo
78,000
0%YesNo
80,000
0%YesNo
$744K Vol.tech
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Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$743K Vol.tech
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Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
43%YesNo
September 30, 2026
38%YesNo
June 30, 2026
14%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$737K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Gold
54%YesNo
Bitcoin
26%YesNo
S&P 500
18%YesNo
$720K Vol.tech
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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
May 31
36%YesNo
April 30
23%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$719K Vol.geopolitics
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Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
84%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
8%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%YesNo
$715K Vol.politics
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Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
April 30
5%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$713K Vol.geopolitics
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NASA Artemis II
April 30
92%YesNo
Artemis II booster rupture?
10%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$708K Vol.tech
View details
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$706K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
Anthropic
99%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
$702K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on March 31?
66,000-68,000
62%YesNo
64,000-66,000
31%YesNo
68,000-70,000
6%YesNo
62,000-64,000
3%YesNo
70,000-72,000
1%YesNo
60,000-62,000
0%YesNo
72,000-74,000
0%YesNo
<60,000
0%YesNo
74,000-76,000
0%YesNo
76,000-78,000
0%YesNo
>78,000
0%YesNo
$670K Vol.tech
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Next CEO of Apple?
John Ternus
43%YesNo
Sabih Khan
15%YesNo
Greg Joswiak
10%YesNo
Craig Federighi
7%YesNo
$667K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
19%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$664K Vol.geopolitics
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What price will Bitcoin hit March 30-April 5?
↓ 66,000
100%YesNo
↓ 64,000
56%YesNo
↑ 70,000
39%YesNo
↓ 62,000
32%YesNo
↓ 60,000
17%YesNo
↑ 72,000
16%YesNo
↓ 58,000
9%YesNo
↑ 74,000
7%YesNo
↓ 56,000
5%YesNo
↑ 76,000
4%YesNo
↓ 54,000
3%YesNo
↑ 78,000
3%YesNo
↑ 80,000
1%YesNo
↑ 82,000
1%YesNo
$654K Vol.tech
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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
47%YesNo
1.8T–2.0T
21%YesNo
1.6T–1.8T
10%YesNo
1.4T–1.6T
8%YesNo
<1.0T
4%YesNo
1.0T–1.2T
3%YesNo
1.2T–1.4T
3%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
3%YesNo
$653K Vol.tech
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Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$647K Vol.politics
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Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?
March 31, 2026
7%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$647K Vol.tech
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What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↑ 38
100%YesNo
↓ 32
100%YesNo
↓ 24
100%YesNo
↑ 34
100%YesNo
↓ 28
100%YesNo
↑ 46
74%YesNo
↑ 50
71%YesNo
↑ 54
54%YesNo
↑ 58
52%YesNo
↑ 62
48%YesNo
↓ 20
46%YesNo
↓ 16
32%YesNo
↑ 66
32%YesNo
↑ 70
30%YesNo
↑ 80
24%YesNo
↑ 100
20%YesNo
↓ 12
20%YesNo
↓ 8
13%YesNo
$626K Vol.tech
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Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Yes
97%YesNo
No
3%YesNo
$617K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$604K Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. nuclear test by...?
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$603K Vol.geopolitics
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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
11%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$600K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
17%YesNo
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$585K Vol.tech
View details
US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
10%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$583K Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
June 30
13%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$582K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
99%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$568K Vol.tech
View details
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
24%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$567K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
April 30
6%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$559K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
December 31, 2026
51%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$557K Vol.politics
View details
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↓ 120
100%YesNo
↓ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 140
100%YesNo
↓ 100
100%YesNo
↓ 60
74%YesNo
↓ 40
51%YesNo
↑ 160
27%YesNo
↑ 180
21%YesNo
↑ 200
18%YesNo
↓ 20
18%YesNo
↑ 220
14%YesNo
↑ 280
12%YesNo
↑ 260
10%YesNo
↑ 240
10%YesNo
↑ 400
8%YesNo
↑ 300
7%YesNo
↑ 320
6%YesNo
↑ 600
6%YesNo
$556K Vol.tech
View details
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$544K Vol.tech
View details
Richest person on March 31?
Elon Musk
100%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
0%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
0%YesNo
Sergey Brin
0%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
0%YesNo
Warren Buffett
0%YesNo
$542K Vol.tech
View details
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Dan Clancy - Twitch
33%YesNo
Tim Cook - Apple
28%YesNo
Sundar Pichai - Google
17%YesNo
Sam Altman - OpenAI
17%YesNo
Andy Jassy - Amazon
16%YesNo
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
11%YesNo
$542K Vol.tech
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BitBoy convicted?
Yes
84%YesNo
No
16%YesNo
$540K Vol.tech
View details
Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
Dan Cox
53%YesNo
Ed Hale
35%YesNo
Christopher Bouchat
5%YesNo
Steve Hershey
3%YesNo
Carl Brunner
2%YesNo
John Myrick
2%YesNo
Larry Hogan
2%YesNo
$537K Vol.elections
View details
When will the DHS shutdown end?
After April 30
37%YesNo
April 13-16
22%YesNo
April 17-20
20%YesNo
April 29-30
10%YesNo
Arpil 21-24
6%YesNo
April 25-28
3%YesNo
April 5-8
2%YesNo
April 9-12
2%YesNo
April 1-4
1%YesNo
Before April 1
0%YesNo
$534K Vol.politics
View details
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$534K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$530K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
Google
100%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$530K Vol.tech
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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$529K Vol.geopolitics
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China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$515K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$512K Vol.politics
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Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Mike Collins
79%YesNo
Derek Dooley
11%YesNo
Earl Carter
10%YesNo
Christina Loren Clement
1%YesNo
Reagan Box
0%YesNo
Christoph La'Flare Chapman
0%YesNo
Rick Temple
0%YesNo
Jonathan McColumn
0%YesNo
Vinson Watkins
0%YesNo
$511K Vol.elections
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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
June 30
30%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$497K Vol.geopolitics
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Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
38%YesNo
June 30
31%YesNo
April 30
11%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$497K Vol.geopolitics
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Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
December 31
45%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$496K Vol.elections
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Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
OpenAI
100%YesNo
Anthropic
0%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
$495K Vol.tech
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Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Saudi Arabia
24%YesNo
UAE
21%YesNo
Kuwait
7%YesNo
Any E.U. Country
7%YesNo
Turkey
5%YesNo
Jordan
5%YesNo
France
4%YesNo
UK
4%YesNo
Germany
2%YesNo
$493K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum above ___ on March 31?
1,600
100%YesNo
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
100%YesNo
1,900
99%YesNo
2,000
78%YesNo
2,100
3%YesNo
2,200
0%YesNo
2,300
0%YesNo
2,400
0%YesNo
2,500
0%YesNo
2,600
0%YesNo
$488K Vol.tech
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US announces military support of Kurds by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$483K Vol.geopolitics
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What will Iran strike by March 31?
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
14%YesNo
Ras Laffan Industrial City
11%YesNo
Khurais Field
9%YesNo
Al Zour Refinery
6%YesNo
Leviathan Field
4%YesNo
Abqaiq oil processing facility
4%YesNo
East–West Pipeline
3%YesNo
Ras Tanura
3%YesNo
Ghawar Field
3%YesNo
Safaniya Field
2%YesNo
Burj Khalifa
1%YesNo
Dimona (Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center)
1%YesNo
$483K Vol.geopolitics
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Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
50%YesNo
Google
21%YesNo
OpenAI
13%YesNo
xAI
8%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Meituan
2%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
$482K Vol.tech
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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$469K Vol.geopolitics
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Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$250M
49%YesNo
$500M
38%YesNo
$1B
21%YesNo
$2B
14%YesNo
$3B
10%YesNo
$455K Vol.tech
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Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Yes
84%YesNo
No
17%YesNo
$450K Vol.geopolitics
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Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$448K Vol.geopolitics
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US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$448K Vol.geopolitics
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Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time
39%YesNo
60+
32%YesNo
40–60
14%YesNo
20–40
11%YesNo
<20
8%YesNo
$446K Vol.geopolitics
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Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
73%YesNo
$100M
17%YesNo
$200M
5%YesNo
$300M
4%YesNo
$400M
3%YesNo
$435K Vol.tech
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Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
37%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$433K Vol.tech
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US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$424K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any country leave NATO by...?
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$424K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
June 30, 2026
30%YesNo
$419K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
45%YesNo
$418K Vol.tech
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Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
June 30
30%YesNo
April 30
3%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$416K Vol.geopolitics
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Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Google
98%YesNo
xAI
2%YesNo
Anthropic
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
OpenAI
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$411K Vol.tech
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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$409K Vol.politics
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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
38%YesNo
5-6
25%YesNo
9-10
16%YesNo
7-8
14%YesNo
>16
6%YesNo
11-12
5%YesNo
13-14
2%YesNo
15-16
1%YesNo
$403K Vol.tech
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Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes
70%YesNo
No
31%YesNo
$402K Vol.tech
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Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
Eric Swalwell
65%YesNo
Steve Hilton
56%YesNo
Tom Steyer
31%YesNo
Matt Mahan
14%YesNo
Xavier Becerra
8%YesNo
Betty Yee
6%YesNo
Ethan Agarwal
5%YesNo
Ché Ahn
4%YesNo
Dylan Colbert
3%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%YesNo
Ryan Tillman
3%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
3%YesNo
Derek Grasty
3%YesNo
David Serpa
2%YesNo
Carolina Buhler
2%YesNo
Kyle Langford
2%YesNo
Butch Ware
2%YesNo
Thunder Parley
2%YesNo
Zoltan Istvan
2%YesNo
Brandon Jones
1%YesNo
Ian Calderon
1%YesNo
Sophia Brink
1%YesNo
$393K Vol.elections
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Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$393K Vol.geopolitics
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Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$392K Vol.politics
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Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
June 30
39%YesNo
April 30
11%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$389K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
April 30
10%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$387K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$387K Vol.geopolitics
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Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom Begich
25%YesNo
Bernadette Wilson
24%YesNo
Treg Taylor
23%YesNo
Click Bishop
15%YesNo
Nancy Dahlstrom
8%YesNo
Lisa Murkowski
6%YesNo
David Bronson
4%YesNo
Matt Heilala
1%YesNo
Adam Crum
1%YesNo
$385K Vol.elections
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Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
June 30, 2026
16%YesNo
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
0%YesNo
$384K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
March 31
0%YesNo
$384K Vol.geopolitics
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Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$384K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin best month in 2026?
December
17%YesNo
October
16%YesNo
November
15%YesNo
September
12%YesNo
June
10%YesNo
August
10%YesNo
July
10%YesNo
April
9%YesNo
May
8%YesNo
March
2%YesNo
January
0%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
$380K Vol.tech
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Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$377K Vol.tech
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Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?
↑ 1.6M
16%YesNo
↑ 1.7M
2%YesNo
↓ 1.4M
1%YesNo
↓ 1.3M
1%YesNo
↑ 1.8M
1%YesNo
$376K Vol.geopolitics
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US strikes Yemen by...?
March 31
3%YesNo
$373K Vol.geopolitics
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Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
42%YesNo
September 30, 2026
33%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$372K Vol.tech
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Solana all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
September 30, 2026
13%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$369K Vol.tech
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Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
New Zealand
27%YesNo
Belgium
25%YesNo
Italy
14%YesNo
Japan
14%YesNo
Austria
12%YesNo
$369K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
June 30
4%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$368K Vol.geopolitics
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Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
December 31, 2026
13%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$368K Vol.politics
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Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
87%YesNo
250B+
8%YesNo
125–150B
2%YesNo
175–200B
2%YesNo
150–175B
2%YesNo
200–250B
1%YesNo
<100B
1%YesNo
100–125B
1%YesNo
$365K Vol.tech
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GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
82%YesNo
June 30, 2026
20%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$361K Vol.tech
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Which banks will fail by June 30?
Citigroup
3%YesNo
Scotiabank
3%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
2%YesNo
BNP Paribas
2%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
2%YesNo
UBS
2%YesNo
HSBC
2%YesNo
JPMorgan Chase
2%YesNo
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Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Rob Sand
96%YesNo
$357K Vol.elections
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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Mallory McMorrow
57%YesNo
Abdul El-Sayed
27%YesNo
Haley Stevens
13%YesNo
Rashida Tlaib
0%YesNo
Kristen McDonald Rivet
0%YesNo
Dana Nessel
0%YesNo
Sarah Anthony
0%YesNo
Andy Levin
0%YesNo
Matt Sahr
0%YesNo
$356K Vol.elections
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Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$354K Vol.geopolitics
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Q1 S&P 500 Performance
<0%
100%YesNo
0-2%
0%YesNo
2-3%
0%YesNo
8-10%
0%YesNo
4-5%
0%YesNo
3-4%
0%YesNo
10%+
0%YesNo
5-6%
0%YesNo
6-8%
0%YesNo
$353K Vol.politics
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Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
28%YesNo
Lebanon
24%YesNo
Syria
22%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
21%YesNo
Azerbaijan
20%YesNo
Kuwait
16%YesNo
Oman
14%YesNo
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How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 3%
98%YesNo
Above 3.5%
91%YesNo
Above 4%
64%YesNo
Above 5%
26%YesNo
Above 6%
14%YesNo
Above 8%
9%YesNo
Above 10%
6%YesNo
$344K Vol.politics
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How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
3
86%YesNo
≥4
13%YesNo
≤1
0%YesNo
$342K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
80%YesNo
$340K Vol.tech
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Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$340K Vol.geopolitics
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3rd richest person on March 31?
Jeff Bezos
98%YesNo
Sergey Brin
2%YesNo
Elon Musk
0%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
0%YesNo
Larry Page
0%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
0%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
Jensen Huang
0%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
0%YesNo
Warren Buffett
0%YesNo
$336K Vol.tech
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
64%YesNo
5.5%
32%YesNo
6.0%
21%YesNo
7.0%
14%YesNo
10.0%
5%YesNo
$336K Vol.politics
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Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
49%YesNo
Google
25%YesNo
OpenAI
14%YesNo
DeepSeek
8%YesNo
xAI
6%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Meituan
1%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
$333K Vol.tech
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Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner
Rick Jackson
54%YesNo
Burt Jones
32%YesNo
Brad Raffensperger
13%YesNo
Chris Carr
1%YesNo
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%YesNo
Ken Yasger
0%YesNo
Leland Olinger II
0%YesNo
Clark Dean
0%YesNo
$331K Vol.elections
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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Scott Wiener
66%YesNo
Saikat Chakrabarti
25%YesNo
Connie Chan
9%YesNo
Jingchao Xiong
1%YesNo
David Ganezer
1%YesNo
Darren Helton
0%YesNo
Cole Bettles
0%YesNo
$330K Vol.elections
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Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Yes
46%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$328K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
April 30
32%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$317K Vol.geopolitics
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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$2B
34%YesNo
$1B
33%YesNo
$3B
14%YesNo
$314K Vol.tech
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GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
↑ $2.40
100%YesNo
↑ $2.50
100%YesNo
↑ $2.75
66%YesNo
↑ $3.00
14%YesNo
↓ $2.20
7%YesNo
↓ $2.10
6%YesNo
↑ $3.50
6%YesNo
↑ $4.00
5%YesNo
↓ $2.00
4%YesNo
↓ $1.75
3%YesNo
↓ $1.50
1%YesNo
$312K Vol.tech
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Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$70M
42%YesNo
$150M
13%YesNo
$400M
11%YesNo
$200M
9%YesNo
$300M
5%YesNo
$1B
1%YesNo
$312K Vol.tech
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2nd richest person on March 31?
Larry Page
95%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
6%YesNo
Sergey Brin
0%YesNo
Elon Musk
0%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
0%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
0%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
0%YesNo
Warren Buffett
0%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
Jensen Huang
0%YesNo
$300K Vol.tech
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Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$299K Vol.geopolitics
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AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Jay Feely
71%YesNo
Joseph Chaplik
4%YesNo
Paul Reevs
1%YesNo
Kari Lake
1%YesNo
Kaitlin Purrington
1%YesNo
Matt Gress
1%YesNo
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
0%YesNo
$299K Vol.elections
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GPT-5.5 released by...?
June 30
94%YesNo
April 30
40%YesNo
April 15
32%YesNo
$298K Vol.tech
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What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↓ 0.16
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
100%YesNo
↑ 2.20
4%YesNo
$291K Vol.tech
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Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
59%YesNo
Dan Sullivan
41%YesNo
Dustin Darden
0%YesNo
Ann Diener
0%YesNo
Richard Grayson
0%YesNo
$291K Vol.elections
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Grok 5 released by...?
June 30, 2026
20%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$289K Vol.tech
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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Maria Corina Machado
100%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100%YesNo
Javier Milei
100%YesNo
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100%YesNo
Friedrich Merz
100%YesNo
Xi Jinping
92%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
72%YesNo
Keir Starmer
69%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
69%YesNo
Aleksandr Lukashenko
66%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
38%YesNo
Changpeng Zhao
25%YesNo
Kim Jong Un
24%YesNo
Nick Fuentes
10%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
10%YesNo
MrBeast
9%YesNo
Yoon Suk Yeol
2%YesNo
Ali Khamenei
0%YesNo
$282K Vol.geopolitics
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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa
24%YesNo
Siga Batista
10%YesNo
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
10%YesNo
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
6%YesNo
João de Deus Mendes
3%YesNo
Gabriel Fernando Indi
3%YesNo
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%YesNo
Baciro Djá
3%YesNo
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
3%YesNo
João Bernardo Vieira
3%YesNo
José Mário Vaz
3%YesNo
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%YesNo
$282K Vol.elections
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5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$276K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin above ___ on April 2?
60,000
97%YesNo
62,000
93%YesNo
64,000
82%YesNo
66,000
56%YesNo
68,000
28%YesNo
70,000
11%YesNo
72,000
3%YesNo
74,000
2%YesNo
76,000
1%YesNo
78,000
1%YesNo
80,000
0%YesNo
$276K Vol.tech
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NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$269K Vol.geopolitics
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Military action against Iran ends by...?
June 30
76%YesNo
May 31
69%YesNo
April 30
40%YesNo
April 15
20%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$266K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$254K Vol.tech
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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
84%YesNo
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
0%YesNo
No Shutdown & Republican Party
0%YesNo
$254K Vol.elections
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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
4.4%
100%YesNo
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.6%
1%YesNo
4.5%
1%YesNo
5.0%
0%YesNo
4.8%
0%YesNo
$248K Vol.politics
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Ethereum price on March 31?
2,000-2,100
77%YesNo
1,900-2,000
19%YesNo
2,100-2,200
3%YesNo
1,800-1,900
1%YesNo
2,200-2,300
1%YesNo
1,700-1,800
0%YesNo
<1,700
0%YesNo
2,300-2,400
0%YesNo
2,400-2,500
0%YesNo
2,500-2,600
0%YesNo
>2,600
0%YesNo
$247K Vol.tech
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How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
160-179
34%YesNo
140-159
30%YesNo
180-199
18%YesNo
200 or more
12%YesNo
120-139
8%YesNo
<100
1%YesNo
100-119
1%YesNo
$246K Vol.tech
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Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Genter Drummond
35%YesNo
Mike Mazzei
33%YesNo
Charles McCall
14%YesNo
Chip Keating
6%YesNo
Ryan Walters
1%YesNo
Jake Merrick
0%YesNo
Leisa Mitchell Haynes
0%YesNo
Matt Pinnell
0%YesNo
$246K Vol.elections
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OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$242K Vol.tech
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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
37%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$241K Vol.tech
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Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
April 30
23%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$241K Vol.geopolitics
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2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
Chun Jae-soo
72%YesNo
Park Heong-joon
22%YesNo
Suh Byung-soo
1%YesNo
Cho Kuk
1%YesNo
Lee Jae-sung
1%YesNo
Cho Kyoung-tae
1%YesNo
Choi In-ho
1%YesNo
Kim Young-choon
0%YesNo
Park Seong-hoon
0%YesNo
Hong Soon-heon
0%YesNo
Kim Do-eup
0%YesNo
Park Jae-ho
0%YesNo
$241K Vol.elections
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XRP all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
16%YesNo
September 30, 2026
11%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$240K Vol.tech
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Bank of Japan Decision in April?
25 bps increase
67%YesNo
No change
24%YesNo
Decrease rates
1%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
$238K Vol.politics
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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Flavio Bolsonaro
82%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
72%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
20%YesNo
Tarcisio de Frietas
5%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
4%YesNo
$232K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?
June 30
39%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$231K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.5–3.0%
20%YesNo
3.0–3.5%
19%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
17%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
14%YesNo
≥3.5%
13%YesNo
<1.0%
10%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
9%YesNo
$229K Vol.politics
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Will Solstice launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
91%YesNo
June 30, 2026
77%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$229K Vol.tech
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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
June 30
12%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$227K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
No change
71%YesNo
Increase
27%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
$222K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on April 3?
56,000
99%YesNo
58,000
98%YesNo
60,000
96%YesNo
62,000
90%YesNo
64,000
77%YesNo
66,000
56%YesNo
68,000
31%YesNo
70,000
14%YesNo
72,000
5%YesNo
74,000
2%YesNo
76,000
1%YesNo
$219K Vol.tech
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Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
72%YesNo
$216K Vol.tech
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China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
20%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
$215K Vol.geopolitics
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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF)
14%YesNo
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
9%YesNo
Hezbollah (Hezb)
3%YesNo
Amal Movement (Amal)
2%YesNo
ReLebanon
2%YesNo
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
1%YesNo
$213K Vol.elections
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Who will enter Iran by June 30?
Pete Hegseth
8%YesNo
Any U.S. House member
8%YesNo
Any U.S. Senator
7%YesNo
Jared Kushner
7%YesNo
JD Vance
6%YesNo
Marco Rubio
6%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%YesNo
Donald Trump
3%YesNo
$212K Vol.geopolitics
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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
5.0-5.5%
48%YesNo
4.5-5.0%
40%YesNo
5.5-6.0%
2%YesNo
4.0-4.5%
1%YesNo
6.0%+
0%YesNo
3.5-4.0%
0%YesNo
<3.5%
0%YesNo
$207K Vol.politics
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Bank of England decision in April?
No change
80%YesNo
Increase
21%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$204K Vol.politics
View details
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
69%YesNo
5.0–6.0%
24%YesNo
6.0-7.0%
8%YesNo
3.0–4.0%
2%YesNo
1.0–2.0%
2%YesNo
7.0–8.0%
1%YesNo
2.0–3.0%
1%YesNo
8.0–9.0%
0%YesNo
<1.0%
0%YesNo
9.0%+
0%YesNo
$203K Vol.geopolitics
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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$203K Vol.geopolitics
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Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
40%+
95%YesNo
45%+
83%YesNo
50%+
39%YesNo
$203K Vol.tech
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Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$199K Vol.tech
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Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
86%YesNo
December 31, 2026
82%YesNo
June 30, 2026
62%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$198K Vol.tech
View details
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$196K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$194K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$191K Vol.geopolitics
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Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Switzerland
100%YesNo
China
92%YesNo
United Kingdom
79%YesNo
France
71%YesNo
Israel
71%YesNo
Turkey
68%YesNo
Japan
58%YesNo
Italy
56%YesNo
Germany
47%YesNo
South Korea
43%YesNo
Oman
42%YesNo
Mexico
41%YesNo
India
41%YesNo
Russia
25%YesNo
Ukraine
23%YesNo
Taiwan
4%YesNo
$191K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?
↑ 85
61%YesNo
↓ 75
54%YesNo
↓ 70
42%YesNo
↓ 60
24%YesNo
↑ 100
19%YesNo
↑ 110
5%YesNo
$190K Vol.tech
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Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
30%+
100%YesNo
35%+
91%YesNo
45%+
41%YesNo
$188K Vol.tech
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Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
Israel
100%YesNo
Jordan
100%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
100%YesNo
Kuwait
100%YesNo
Bahrain
99%YesNo
UAE
92%YesNo
Iraq
70%YesNo
Qatar
49%YesNo
Oman
25%YesNo
Lebanon
24%YesNo
UK
6%YesNo
Poland
5%YesNo
Germany
4%YesNo
Ukraine
3%YesNo
France
2%YesNo
Spain
2%YesNo
Hungary
1%YesNo
$187K Vol.geopolitics
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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India
25%YesNo
Pakistan
21%YesNo
Japan
19%YesNo
Taiwan
19%YesNo
Indonesia
18%YesNo
Brazil
16%YesNo
Argentina
16%YesNo
European Union
14%YesNo
Russia
14%YesNo
Vietnam
14%YesNo
Australia
13%YesNo
$187K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$186K Vol.elections
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$186K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$183K Vol.geopolitics
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Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?
December 31, 2026
41%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$182K Vol.tech
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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
4.0%
100%YesNo
3.9%
67%YesNo
3.8%
42%YesNo
3.7%
39%YesNo
3.6%
27%YesNo
3.5%
19%YesNo
1.0%
5%YesNo
$180K Vol.politics
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Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
87%YesNo
September 30, 2026
51%YesNo
June 30, 2026
20%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$180K Vol.tech
View details
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes
32%YesNo
No
69%YesNo
$178K Vol.tech
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Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
Decrease
82%YesNo
No Change
18%YesNo
Increase
2%YesNo
$176K Vol.politics
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What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↓ 400
100%YesNo
↓ 200
100%YesNo
↓ 500
100%YesNo
↓ 300
100%YesNo
↓ 100
57%YesNo
↓ 50
24%YesNo
↑ 900
16%YesNo
↑ 1000
14%YesNo
↑ 1100
12%YesNo
$175K Vol.tech
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Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$171K Vol.geopolitics
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Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat
64%YesNo
Republican
21%YesNo
$171K Vol.elections
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Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$169K Vol.politics
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Israel strike on Damascus by...?
March 31, 2026
2%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$167K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
60%YesNo
March 31 2026
0%YesNo
$166K Vol.tech
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Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
36%YesNo
$165K Vol.tech
View details
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
Increase
99%YesNo
No change
1%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$165K Vol.politics
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Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
December 31, 2026
55%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$164K Vol.tech
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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$163K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.4%
100%YesNo
4.5%
92%YesNo
4.6%
66%YesNo
4.8%
46%YesNo
5.0%
28%YesNo
5.2%
19%YesNo
5.5%
14%YesNo
5.7%
10%YesNo
6.0%
10%YesNo
$161K Vol.politics
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Texas Senate Election Winner
Republican
56%YesNo
Democrat
44%YesNo
$159K Vol.elections
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Israel military action against Beirut on...?
March 31
57%YesNo
$157K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
December 31
27%YesNo
June 30
14%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$156K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
Miami
91%YesNo
Dallas
84%YesNo
Las Vegas
34%YesNo
London
21%YesNo
Denver
13%YesNo
Washington DC
8%YesNo
New York City
7%YesNo
$155K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$155K Vol.geopolitics
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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$154K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
61%YesNo
September 30 2026
28%YesNo
June 30 2026
12%YesNo
March 31 2026
0%YesNo
$153K Vol.tech
View details
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$153K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$153K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$153K Vol.geopolitics
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Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
94%YesNo
June 30
2%YesNo
$153K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$152K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$150K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$149K Vol.tech
View details
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$25M
61%YesNo
$50M
35%YesNo
$300M
26%YesNo
$100M
14%YesNo
$500M
2%YesNo
$800M
2%YesNo
$148K Vol.tech
View details
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$148K Vol.geopolitics
View details
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
June
56%YesNo
October
17%YesNo
July
16%YesNo
May
6%YesNo
No IPO before 2027
5%YesNo
August
2%YesNo
September
2%YesNo
November
1%YesNo
April
1%YesNo
December
1%YesNo
March
0%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
$146K Vol.tech
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Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$145K Vol.politics
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Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Yes
63%YesNo
No
38%YesNo
$145K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Yes
75%YesNo
No
26%YesNo
$145K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$144K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.24
100%YesNo
↑ 0.28
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
79%YesNo
↑ 0.32
49%YesNo
↓ 0.04
40%YesNo
↑ 1.20
6%YesNo
$143K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
April 30
22%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$143K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$142K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$140K Vol.tech
View details
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$140K Vol.tech
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Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$139K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$138K Vol.tech
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Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$138K Vol.geopolitics
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Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?
December 31, 2026
85%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$137K Vol.tech
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Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$137K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$136K Vol.geopolitics
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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$135K Vol.tech
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Spain snap election called by...?
June 30, 2026
11%YesNo
$133K Vol.elections
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How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
12+
39%YesNo
7
14%YesNo
11
14%YesNo
10
14%YesNo
≤5
7%YesNo
8
4%YesNo
6
3%YesNo
9
3%YesNo
$132K Vol.tech
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$132K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$132K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
April 30
8%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$130K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$130K Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$129K Vol.geopolitics
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2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$129K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin above ___ on April 4?
58,000
98%YesNo
60,000
95%YesNo
62,000
88%YesNo
64,000
76%YesNo
66,000
55%YesNo
68,000
34%YesNo
70,000
16%YesNo
72,000
7%YesNo
74,000
3%YesNo
78,000
1%YesNo
$128K Vol.tech
View details
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Thomas Massie
64%YesNo
Ed Gallrein
36%YesNo
$128K Vol.elections
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Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
September 30, 2026
54%YesNo
December 31, 2026
42%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$127K Vol.tech
View details
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
0
31%YesNo
1-100
23%YesNo
2.5k-5k
8%YesNo
25k-100k
8%YesNo
101-1k
8%YesNo
1k-2.5k
7%YesNo
10k-25k
7%YesNo
5k-10k
7%YesNo
>100k
5%YesNo
$126K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$123K Vol.geopolitics
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Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
64%YesNo
50B–75B
14%YesNo
75B–100B
4%YesNo
20B–30B
3%YesNo
<20B
3%YesNo
$122K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
December 31
69%YesNo
June 30
20%YesNo
$121K Vol.geopolitics
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Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Yes
91%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$120K Vol.geopolitics
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People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$119K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
PT
28%YesNo
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
16%YesNo
MUNDO-GB
14%YesNo
FLING
5%YesNo
FREPASNA
3%YesNo
PS
1%YesNo
$114K Vol.elections
View details
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Saudi Arabia
10%YesNo
Syria
9%YesNo
Indonesia
7%YesNo
Venezuela
7%YesNo
Lebanon
6%YesNo
$113K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
28%YesNo
$113K Vol.tech
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Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
March 31
34%YesNo
$112K Vol.geopolitics
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China coup attempt before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$111K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$111K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will Trump endorse?
Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen
100%YesNo
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
74%YesNo
John Cornyn - TX-Sen
34%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov
0%YesNo
$110K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
April 30
13%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$109K Vol.geopolitics
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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$109K Vol.geopolitics
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Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$108K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$26B
48%YesNo
$16B
39%YesNo
$22B
34%YesNo
$24B
30%YesNo
$20B
28%YesNo
$18B
28%YesNo
$28B
16%YesNo
$108K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by...?
April 30
29%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$108K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
Google
70%YesNo
Anthropic
26%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
xAI
2%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$107K Vol.tech
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Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Keisha Lance Bottoms
79%YesNo
Geoff Duncan
9%YesNo
Jason Esteves
7%YesNo
Ruwa Romman
1%YesNo
Mike Thurmond
1%YesNo
Derrick Jackson
0%YesNo
Olujimi Brown
0%YesNo
$107K Vol.elections
View details
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 2.00
100%YesNo
↓ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 1.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.60
100%YesNo
↑ 2.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
77%YesNo
↓ 0.80
55%YesNo
↓ 0.60
27%YesNo
↓ 0.40
21%YesNo
↑ 2.80
19%YesNo
↑ 3.00
13%YesNo
↑ 4.20
11%YesNo
↑ 5.00
11%YesNo
↓ 0.20
8%YesNo
$107K Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Yes
80%YesNo
No
21%YesNo
$106K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?
April 30
24%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$105K Vol.geopolitics
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Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$105K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
April 30
16%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$105K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
Gold
100%YesNo
Silver
99%YesNo
NVIDIA (NVDA)
99%YesNo
S&P 500
98%YesNo
$105K Vol.tech
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Another US bank failure by March 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$104K Vol.politics
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Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
December 31, 2026
5%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$103K Vol.tech
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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Yes
71%YesNo
No
30%YesNo
$103K Vol.tech
View details
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
28%YesNo
Watch
26%YesNo
Necklace
25%YesNo
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
24%YesNo
Phone
23%YesNo
Glasses
23%YesNo
$102K Vol.tech
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1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$102K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on April 5?
56,000
98%YesNo
58,000
96%YesNo
60,000
94%YesNo
62,000
86%YesNo
64,000
73%YesNo
66,000
55%YesNo
68,000
35%YesNo
70,000
19%YesNo
72,000
9%YesNo
$102K Vol.tech
View details
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$101K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
40%YesNo
No
61%YesNo
$101K Vol.tech
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European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$100K Vol.geopolitics
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OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$100K Vol.tech
View details
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Democrat
83%YesNo
Republican
16%YesNo
$100K Vol.elections
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$100K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Janeese Lewis George
43%YesNo
Kenyan McDuffie
23%YesNo
Gary Goodweather
4%YesNo
Brooke Pinto
1%YesNo
Christina Henderson
0%YesNo
$100K Vol.elections
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Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
28%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$99K Vol.tech
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Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2026
67%YesNo
$99K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Ethereum hit March 30-April 5?
↑ 2,100
64%YesNo
↓ 1,900
43%YesNo
↑ 2,200
28%YesNo
↓ 1,800
19%YesNo
↑ 2,300
11%YesNo
↓ 1,700
8%YesNo
↑ 2,400
5%YesNo
↓ 1,600
4%YesNo
↑ 2,500
3%YesNo
↓ 1,300
1%YesNo
$99K Vol.tech
View details
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$99K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner
Andy Barr
51%YesNo
Daniel Cameron
23%YesNo
Nate Morris
20%YesNo
Andrew Shelley
1%YesNo
Wende Kennedy
0%YesNo
Mike Faris
0%YesNo
$98K Vol.elections
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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$97K Vol.geopolitics
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Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
December 31
41%YesNo
June 30
22%YesNo
$97K Vol.geopolitics
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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
44%YesNo
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$94K Vol.politics
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Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
70%YesNo
$94K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
600B+
78%YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%YesNo
400–600B
4%YesNo
100–200B
2%YesNo
300–400B
2%YesNo
200–300B
1%YesNo
<100B
1%YesNo
$93K Vol.tech
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Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$93K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Crypto Twitter mindshare ATH by March 31, 2026?
Flood
100%YesNo
Proph3t
5%YesNo
Cobie
3%YesNo
Tom Lee
3%YesNo
Arthur_0x
3%YesNo
Ansem
2%YesNo
CZ
1%YesNo
threadguy
1%YesNo
$92K Vol.tech
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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$91K Vol.tech
View details
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Republican
74%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$90K Vol.elections
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Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$90K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$90K Vol.tech
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Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$89K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Alexander Vindman
87%YesNo
Jared Moskowitz
5%YesNo
Josh Weil
1%YesNo
Joey Atkins
0%YesNo
$88K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
April 30
40%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$88K Vol.geopolitics
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Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
April 30
63%YesNo
April 15
46%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$87K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
17%YesNo
$100M
8%YesNo
$200M
3%YesNo
$87K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$86K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
↓ 700
100%YesNo
↓ 600
100%YesNo
↓ 800
100%YesNo
↓ 500
69%YesNo
↓ 400
52%YesNo
↑ 1000
35%YesNo
↑ 1500
13%YesNo
↑ 1600
8%YesNo
$85K Vol.tech
View details
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Yes
70%YesNo
No
30%YesNo
$85K Vol.elections
View details
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
June 30
38%YesNo
April 30
14%YesNo
$84K Vol.geopolitics
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Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$84K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$83K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$83K Vol.geopolitics
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EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
14%YesNo
June 30
3%YesNo
$83K Vol.geopolitics
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What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T
30%YesNo
1.50-1.75T
30%YesNo
2.00-2.25T
13%YesNo
1.25-1.50T
10%YesNo
2.25-2.50T
9%YesNo
2.50T+
7%YesNo
<1.25T
5%YesNo
$83K Vol.tech
View details
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Republican
62%YesNo
Democrat
38%YesNo
$83K Vol.elections
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Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Maggie Hassan
2%YesNo
Dick Durbin
2%YesNo
Susan Collins
1%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
1%YesNo
John Fetterman
1%YesNo
Kirsten Gillibrand
1%YesNo
Lisa Murkowski
1%YesNo
Chris Murphy
1%YesNo
Rick Scott
1%YesNo
Patty Murray
1%YesNo
Tim Kaine
1%YesNo
Thom Tillis
1%YesNo
Ron Johnson
1%YesNo
Chris Coons
1%YesNo
Angus King
1%YesNo
Rand Paul
1%YesNo
Chuck Schumer
1%YesNo
Amy Klobuchar
0%YesNo
$83K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 1?
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
99%YesNo
1,900
94%YesNo
2,000
64%YesNo
2,100
17%YesNo
2,200
2%YesNo
2,300
1%YesNo
2,500
0%YesNo
2,700
0%YesNo
2,600
0%YesNo
$82K Vol.tech
View details
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Yes
84%YesNo
No
16%YesNo
$82K Vol.politics
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Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes
91%YesNo
No
10%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
26%YesNo
50-60B
20%YesNo
60-70B
18%YesNo
40-50B
14%YesNo
80-90B
14%YesNo
<40B
6%YesNo
90-100B
5%YesNo
120B+
3%YesNo
100-110B
1%YesNo
110-120B
1%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
December 31, 2026
44%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
51%YesNo
December 31, 2026
47%YesNo
June 30, 2026
10%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
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Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
March 31
23%YesNo
$79K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin price on April 1?
66,000-68,000
37%YesNo
64,000-66,000
31%YesNo
68,000-70,000
18%YesNo
62,000-64,000
10%YesNo
70,000-72,000
5%YesNo
<62,000
2%YesNo
72,000-74,000
1%YesNo
74,000-76,000
1%YesNo
76,000-78,000
0%YesNo
78,000-80,000
0%YesNo
>80,000
0%YesNo
$79K Vol.tech
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Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$79K Vol.politics
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Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$79K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$78K Vol.tech
View details
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Anduril
25%YesNo
Samsung Electronics
18%YesNo
Nvidia
14%YesNo
Rigetti
6%YesNo
$77K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
April 30
8%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$77K Vol.geopolitics
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NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Claire Valdez
65%YesNo
Antonio Reynoso
32%YesNo
Tiffany Cabán
2%YesNo
Jennifer Gútierrez
1%YesNo
Julia Salazar
1%YesNo
Sandy Nurse
1%YesNo
Julie Won
1%YesNo
Kristen Gonzalez
0%YesNo
Lincoln Restler
0%YesNo
$77K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
April 30
9%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$76K Vol.geopolitics
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Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun
16%YesNo
Zhang Shengmin
14%YesNo
Cai Qi
10%YesNo
Li Xi
6%YesNo
Wang Huning
5%YesNo
Zhao Leji
4%YesNo
Wang Yi
3%YesNo
$76K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1m
85%YesNo
1.1m
72%YesNo
1.3m
32%YesNo
1.4m
14%YesNo
1.5m
11%YesNo
2m
5%YesNo
$76K Vol.politics
View details
Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Victor Marx
62%YesNo
Barbara Kirkmeyer
28%YesNo
Daniel Thomas
4%YesNo
Greg Lopez
4%YesNo
Brycen Garrison
3%YesNo
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%YesNo
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
3%YesNo
Scott Bottoms
2%YesNo
Joshua Griffin
2%YesNo
Will McBride
1%YesNo
Mark Baisley
1%YesNo
Jason Clark
1%YesNo
Stevan Gess
1%YesNo
Robert Moore
1%YesNo
Jason Mikesell
0%YesNo
$75K Vol.elections
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Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$74K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
↓ 0.0026
100%YesNo
↑ 0.0030
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0022
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0018
100%YesNo
↑ 0.0038
56%YesNo
↑ 0.0046
38%YesNo
↑ 0.0050
24%YesNo
↑ 0.0090
12%YesNo
↑ 0.0080
12%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
View details
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$74K Vol.politics
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Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Beyond Meat
60%YesNo
MicroStrategy
8%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
Anthropic
2%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
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U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Yes
46%YesNo
No
54%YesNo
$73K Vol.tech
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Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$72K Vol.geopolitics
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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes
45%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$71K Vol.geopolitics
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Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ
93%YesNo
NYSE
2%YesNo
$71K Vol.tech
View details
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$70K Vol.tech
View details
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Democrat
57%YesNo
Republican
42%YesNo
$70K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$70K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$69K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?
↓ 0.14
100%YesNo
↓ 0.10
100%YesNo
↓ 0.06
75%YesNo
↑ 0.16
40%YesNo
↑ 0.32
22%YesNo
↓ 0.02
11%YesNo
↑ 0.52
11%YesNo
$69K Vol.tech
View details
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
December 31
24%YesNo
June 30
6%YesNo
$68K Vol.tech
View details
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$67K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$67K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
↑ 1500
100%YesNo
↑ 1550
56%YesNo
↑ 1600
26%YesNo
$66K Vol.tech
View details
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
<5
98%YesNo
5–7
1%YesNo
8–10
0%YesNo
14–16
0%YesNo
11–13
0%YesNo
20+
0%YesNo
17–19
0%YesNo
$66K Vol.geopolitics
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Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Democrat
76%YesNo
Republican
22%YesNo
$65K Vol.elections
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Bank of Canada decision in April?
No change
96%YesNo
Increase
2%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$65K Vol.politics
View details
Claude 4.7 released by...?
June 30
49%YesNo
May 31
43%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$65K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$65K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
↑ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
75%YesNo
↑ 2.00
17%YesNo
↑ 2.20
13%YesNo
$64K Vol.tech
View details
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
April 30
57%YesNo
April 15
39%YesNo
$64K Vol.geopolitics
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Will StandX launch a token by ___ ?
March 31
0%YesNo
$64K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?
↓ 3.00
100%YesNo
↓ 4.50
100%YesNo
↓ 6.00
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50
100%YesNo
↑ 15.50
16%YesNo
$64K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
April 30
8%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$63K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?
$540
46%YesNo
$560
2%YesNo
$580
1%YesNo
$600
1%YesNo
$640
1%YesNo
$660
0%YesNo
$680
0%YesNo
$620
0%YesNo
$700
0%YesNo
$720
0%YesNo
$740
0%YesNo
$760
0%YesNo
$780
0%YesNo
$62K Vol.tech
View details
Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
10%YesNo
$300M
9%YesNo
$800M
7%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$62K Vol.tech
View details
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Democrat
56%YesNo
Republican
43%YesNo
$61K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31
48%YesNo
June 30
10%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$60K Vol.tech
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Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner
Andy Biggs
93%YesNo
David Schweikert
4%YesNo
Karrin Taylor Robson
1%YesNo
$59K Vol.elections
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Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
82%YesNo
$59K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX files IPO by...?
April 3
36%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$59K Vol.tech
View details
Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ed Diehl
47%YesNo
Christine Drazan
40%YesNo
Chris Dudley
12%YesNo
Danielle Bethell
3%YesNo
Kyle Duyck
2%YesNo
Robert Neuman
1%YesNo
Chael Sonnen
0%YesNo
Caleb Kintz
0%YesNo
$59K Vol.elections
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Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$59K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner
Jim Pillen
94%YesNo
Charles Herbster
1%YesNo
$59K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
April 30
62%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$59K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
March 31
2%YesNo
$58K Vol.geopolitics
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Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
26%YesNo
$1B
21%YesNo
$500M
17%YesNo
$700M
11%YesNo
$3B
4%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$4B
3%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
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Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$58K Vol.geopolitics
View details
India Annual Inflation 2026
2.25% to 2.99%
32%YesNo
3.75% to 4.49%
24%YesNo
4.50%+
12%YesNo
$57K Vol.politics
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Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
96%YesNo
No
5%YesNo
$57K Vol.tech
View details
Octra FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
17%YesNo
$200M
14%YesNo
$400M
8%YesNo
$56K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
100%YesNo
30%+
100%YesNo
40%+
100%YesNo
50%+
56%YesNo
$56K Vol.tech
View details
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
6–10s
19%YesNo
10–15s
19%YesNo
15s+
18%YesNo
2–6s
10%YesNo
No Handshake
6%YesNo
<2s
3%YesNo
Photographed only
2%YesNo
$56K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
38%YesNo
$300M
28%YesNo
$700M
11%YesNo
$1B
1%YesNo
$56K Vol.tech
View details
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$56K Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$55K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$55K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$54K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$53K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
April 30
11%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$53K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
View details
Canada recession before 2027?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$53K Vol.politics
View details
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$52K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ethan Corson
70%YesNo
Cindy Holscher
27%YesNo
Marty Tuley
1%YesNo
$52K Vol.elections
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1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$52K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$52K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
52%YesNo
December 31, 2026
29%YesNo
$51K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
March 31
2%YesNo
$51K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$51K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$51K Vol.tech
View details
New York Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$51K Vol.elections
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
April 30
23%YesNo
April 15
8%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes
63%YesNo
No
38%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
March 31
2%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Michael Bennet
79%YesNo
Phil Weiser
20%YesNo
David Hughes
1%YesNo
William Moses
1%YesNo
$49K Vol.elections
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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
45%+
65%YesNo
60%+
11%YesNo
$49K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?
April 30
38%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$48K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$48K Vol.elections
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Another Elon baby by June 30?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$47K Vol.tech
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Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$47K Vol.geopolitics
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Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
75%YesNo
Republican
26%YesNo
$47K Vol.elections
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New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
Kathy Hochul
95%YesNo
Antonio Delgado
3%YesNo
$47K Vol.elections
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Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$46K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$46K Vol.geopolitics
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Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Barry Moore
83%YesNo
Jared Hudson
8%YesNo
Steve Marshall
6%YesNo
Morgan Murphy
1%YesNo
Rodney Walker
0%YesNo
$46K Vol.elections
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Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$45K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$45K Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$45K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 2?
1,600
99%YesNo
1,700
99%YesNo
1,800
97%YesNo
1,900
89%YesNo
2,000
61%YesNo
2,200
5%YesNo
2,600
0%YesNo
$44K Vol.tech
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Claude Mythos released by…?
June 30
71%YesNo
April 30
25%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$44K Vol.tech
View details
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Yes
57%YesNo
No
43%YesNo
$43K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
↑ 6.30%
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50%
79%YesNo
↓ 5.70%
42%YesNo
$43K Vol.politics
View details
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$43K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$42K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
60+
33%YesNo
$41K Vol.elections
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Sam Altman in jail by...?
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 5AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$41K Vol.politics
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VEO 4 released by...?
March 31
2%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
83%YesNo
Republican
17%YesNo
$40K Vol.elections
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Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
$40K Vol.elections
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Ethereum above ___ on April 3?
1,500
100%YesNo
1,600
99%YesNo
1,700
98%YesNo
1,800
96%YesNo
1,900
85%YesNo
2,000
60%YesNo
2,100
28%YesNo
2,200
8%YesNo
2,300
3%YesNo
$39K Vol.tech
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Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican
83%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$39K Vol.elections
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Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$39K Vol.politics
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100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$39K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum above ___ on April 4?
1,600
99%YesNo
1,500
99%YesNo
1,700
98%YesNo
1,800
93%YesNo
1,900
83%YesNo
2,300
5%YesNo
2,500
1%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
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Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?
Yes
97%YesNo
No
3%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$38K Vol.geopolitics
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Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
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Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jerri Green
84%YesNo
Tim Cyr
4%YesNo
$38K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6AM ET
Yes
91%YesNo
No
10%YesNo
$37K Vol.tech
View details
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Democrat
76%YesNo
Republican
23%YesNo
$37K Vol.elections
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Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
June 30, 2026
8%YesNo
$36K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin price on April 2?
66,000-68,000
28%YesNo
64,000-66,000
25%YesNo
68,000-70,000
19%YesNo
62,000-64,000
12%YesNo
70,000-72,000
8%YesNo
72,000-74,000
3%YesNo
<60,000
1%YesNo
>78,000
1%YesNo
$35K Vol.tech
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Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Stephen Heidt
2%YesNo
$35K Vol.elections
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NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$35K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
↓ 12
100%YesNo
↓ 8
100%YesNo
↑ 14
100%YesNo
↑ 20
45%YesNo
↓ 4
32%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
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Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
View details
What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?
↑ 70
64%YesNo
↓ 50
57%YesNo
↑ 80
46%YesNo
↓ 40
11%YesNo
↓ 30
4%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
View details
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
4.50% to 4.99%
27%YesNo
5.50%+
22%YesNo
3.00% to 3.49%
17%YesNo
$34K Vol.politics
View details
South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham
85%YesNo
Paul Dans
10%YesNo
Mark Lynch
7%YesNo
Thomas Murphy
0%YesNo
$33K Vol.elections
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Israel military action against Beirut on...?
April 8
68%YesNo
April 9
67%YesNo
April 4
66%YesNo
April 7
62%YesNo
April 10
61%YesNo
$33K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$33K Vol.tech
View details
Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?
John Ratcliffe
100%YesNo
Charles Myers
100%YesNo
Dan Caine
9%YesNo
Jared Kushner
7%YesNo
Marco Rubio
4%YesNo
Donald Trump
0%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
0%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?
9M ETH
9%YesNo
7M ETH
9%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
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Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Sharice Davids
49%YesNo
Sandy Spidel Neumann
9%YesNo
Michael Soetaert
5%YesNo
$32K Vol.elections
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Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
4.50-4.99%
43%YesNo
5.00-5.49%
26%YesNo
4.00-4.49%
20%YesNo
5.50-5.99%
4%YesNo
6.00-6.49%
4%YesNo
7.00%+
4%YesNo
6.50-6.99%
2%YesNo
3.50-3.99%
2%YesNo
3.00-3.49%
1%YesNo
<3.00%
0%YesNo
$31K Vol.politics
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Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Jeff Colyer
36%YesNo
Ty Masterson
22%YesNo
Philip Sarnecki
17%YesNo
$31K Vol.elections
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Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
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Who will Bernie endorse?
Kshama Sawant - WA-09
19%YesNo
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen
18%YesNo
Omar Fateh - Minneapolis Mayor
0%YesNo
$30K Vol.politics
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Georgia Governor Election Winner
Democrat
60%YesNo
Republican
40%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
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Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
View details
China Annual Inflation 2026
<-1.0%
23%YesNo
-0.4 – 0.0%
15%YesNo
2.5%+
14%YesNo
1.6 – 2.0%
14%YesNo
0.1 – 0.5%
13%YesNo
1.1 – 1.5%
11%YesNo
0.6 – 1.0%
10%YesNo
2.0-2.4%
5%YesNo
-0.9 – -0.5%
3%YesNo
$30K Vol.geopolitics
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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$30K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$30K Vol.geopolitics
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Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
December 31, 2026
58%YesNo
$29K Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down on March 31?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$29K Vol.tech
View details
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$3B
15%YesNo
$1B
12%YesNo
$2B
6%YesNo
$28K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
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MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Matt Little
44%YesNo
Matt Klein
36%YesNo
Kaela Berg
21%YesNo
$27K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
April 30
6%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$27K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$27K Vol.politics
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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$27K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?
No Change
96%YesNo
Increase
3%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$26K Vol.politics
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Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$26K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Russia decision in April?
Decrease
92%YesNo
No Change
8%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$26K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ChatGPT Outage by...?
April 3
25%YesNo
$26K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Peggy Flanagan
80%YesNo
Angie Craig
16%YesNo
Betty McCollum
1%YesNo
Melisa Hortman
1%YesNo
David Wellstone
0%YesNo
$26K Vol.elections
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Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Deel IPO by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
GDP growth in 2026
>2.5%
61%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
11%YesNo
<0.5%
10%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
7%YesNo
0.5–1.0%
4%YesNo
$25K Vol.politics
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Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Stinky by...?
April 30
13%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Democrat
55%YesNo
Republican
45%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
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Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Michele Tafoya
75%YesNo
Christopher Brooks
2%YesNo
David Hann
1%YesNo
$24K Vol.elections
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Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
April 1
89%YesNo
April 7
87%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
March 31
36%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
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Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026
42%YesNo
Anthropic
40%YesNo
Google
11%YesNo
OpenAI
7%YesNo
xAI
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
3%YesNo
Alibaba
2%YesNo
Mistral
1%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
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Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
300-400k
37%YesNo
400-500k
23%YesNo
200-300k
22%YesNo
500-600k
8%YesNo
800-900k
4%YesNo
>1m
3%YesNo
900k-1m
1%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?
150-160mm
69%YesNo
160-170mm
22%YesNo
190-200mm
0%YesNo
200mm+
0%YesNo
<150mm
0%YesNo
$23K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Korea decision in April?
No Change
96%YesNo
Increase
2%YesNo
Decrease
1%YesNo
$23K Vol.politics
View details
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
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Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?
<6,000
100%YesNo
6,500-7,000
0%YesNo
8,500-9,000
0%YesNo
>9,000
0%YesNo
6,000-6,500
0%YesNo
7,000-7,500
0%YesNo
7,500-8,000
0%YesNo
$22K Vol.politics
View details
Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Nirav Shah
38%YesNo
Hannah Pingree
27%YesNo
Troy Jackson
17%YesNo
Angus King III
11%YesNo
Kenneth Pinet
0%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 60
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
↑ 50
100%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
3rd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page
16%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
7%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Ritchie Torres
85%YesNo
Michael Blake
14%YesNo
Dalourny Nemorin
2%YesNo
Amanda Septimo
1%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$21K Vol.tech
View details
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
Increase
62%YesNo
No Change
37%YesNo
Decrease
1%YesNo
$21K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by...?
April 30
27%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$21K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 5?
1,500
99%YesNo
1,600
99%YesNo
1,700
97%YesNo
1,800
93%YesNo
2,300
6%YesNo
$21K Vol.tech
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ECB rate cut in 2026?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$21K Vol.politics
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Ethereum price on April 1?
2,000-2,100
47%YesNo
2,100-2,200
16%YesNo
1,700-1,800
1%YesNo
<1,700
0%YesNo
>2,600
0%YesNo
$20K Vol.tech
View details
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.0-0.3%
68%YesNo
Negative
14%YesNo
0.6-0.9%
6%YesNo
$20K Vol.politics
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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
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How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
3
47%YesNo
≥4
40%YesNo
2
10%YesNo
≤1
3%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
83%YesNo
Republican
16%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%
37%YesNo
4.4-4.7%
6%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Svitle by...?
April 30
16%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Democrat
51%YesNo
Republican
50%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
<2
44%YesNo
2–3
26%YesNo
6–7
13%YesNo
8–9
9%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Florida Senate Election Winner
Republican
84%YesNo
Democrat
16%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin price on April 3?
66,000-68,000
24%YesNo
68,000-70,000
17%YesNo
<58,000
1%YesNo
>76,000
1%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
View details
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Doug Jones
90%YesNo
Yolanda Flowers
3%YesNo
Ja’Mel Brown
2%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
ChatGPT
99%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
Google Gemini
1%YesNo
Claude by Anthropic
0%YesNo
MLB
0%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
View details
What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 90
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
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Illinois Senate Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Catalina Lauf
54%YesNo
Jim Oberweis
11%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
60%+
56%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
View details
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$17K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will Meta (META) hit in April 2026?
↓ $570
99%YesNo
↓ $540
91%YesNo
↑ $660
9%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
View details
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$17K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jeff Merkley
98%YesNo
Jacob Ryan
2%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin price on April 5?
68,000-70,000
14%YesNo
60,000-62,000
8%YesNo
58,000-60,000
5%YesNo
<58,000
3%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Republican
80%YesNo
Democrat
18%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.1-0.3%
46%YesNo
0.4-0.6%
8%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Democrat
75%YesNo
Republican
19%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
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Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%
34%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Increase
89%YesNo
No change
11%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
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Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
April 30
14%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
April 30
13%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Democrat
89%YesNo
Republican
12%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many SpaceX launches in April?
13
62%YesNo
14
12%YesNo
16
9%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
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US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$15K Vol.politics
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$15K Vol.politics
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Charles Booker
79%YesNo
Amy McGrath
18%YesNo
Pamela Stevenson
2%YesNo
Logan Forsythe
1%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes
64%YesNo
No
37%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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2026 World GDP Growth
≤2.9%
48%YesNo
3.3%
28%YesNo
3.2%
16%YesNo
3.4%
8%YesNo
3.5%
6%YesNo
$14K Vol.politics
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ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
Anthropic
85%YesNo
Google
8%YesNo
OpenAI
4%YesNo
Alibaba
2%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027
31%YesNo
1T–1.25T
18%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$1M
13%YesNo
$5M
10%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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Kansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
82%YesNo
Democrat
17%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
82%YesNo
ByteDance
3%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Shevchenko by...?
April 30
25%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
30%YesNo
$300M
9%YesNo
$800M
5%YesNo
$500M
3%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Deb Haaland
77%YesNo
Sam Bregman
20%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
Shadowrocket
21%YesNo
HotSchedules
3%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Yes
76%YesNo
No
24%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
NVIDIA (NVDA)
56%YesNo
S&P 500
50%YesNo
Gold
46%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner
John Hickenlooper
70%YesNo
Julie Gonzales
26%YesNo
Karen Breslin
4%YesNo
Michael Scanlon
2%YesNo
Brashad Hasley
1%YesNo
Nichole Miner
1%YesNo
Anthony Zimpfer
1%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Aaron Ford
89%YesNo
Alexis Hill
5%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Dusty Johnson
51%YesNo
Toby Doeden
36%YesNo
Larry Rhoden
9%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$12K Vol.tech
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Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
1900.00–1999.99
9%YesNo
$12K Vol.politics
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West Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Shelley Moore Capito
96%YesNo
Tom Willis
3%YesNo
Alexander Gaasserud
1%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
10%YesNo
$200M
6%YesNo
$300M
3%YesNo
$12K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
No Change
82%YesNo
Decrease
13%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$12K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Yes
3%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$12K Vol.tech
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Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley Hinson
97%YesNo
Joshua Smith
1%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Nate Blouin
48%YesNo
Ben McAdams
48%YesNo
Erin Mendenhall
1%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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US recognize Somaliland by...?
December 31
0%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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Ohio Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jacob Chiara
2%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Oklahoma Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cyndi Munson
89%YesNo
Arya Azma
8%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
91%YesNo
No
10%YesNo
$11K Vol.tech
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Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$11K Vol.politics
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PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner
Sharif Street
38%YesNo
Chris Rabb
34%YesNo
Ala Stanford
24%YesNo
Gabriel Caceres
0%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$11K Vol.tech
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Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Republican
90%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6AM ET
Yes
88%YesNo
No
13%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Ohio Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Sherrod Brown
96%YesNo
Greg Landsman
2%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Yes
86%YesNo
No
14%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
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New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cinde Warmington
81%YesNo
Tom Sherman
4%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Dan Koh
76%YesNo
Mariah Lancaster
12%YesNo
Kevin Larivee
7%YesNo
Rick Jakious
2%YesNo
Beth Andres-Beck
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
12+
33%YesNo
9-11
27%YesNo
3-5
3%YesNo
0-2
3%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner
Mark Baisley
48%YesNo
Janak Joshi
20%YesNo
George Washington Markert
12%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy Moss
79%YesNo
Andy Levin
11%YesNo
Aisha Farooqi
4%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ned Lamont
92%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner
Michael Minogue
47%YesNo
Mike Kennealy
11%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Alabama Senate Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Manny Rutinel
77%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
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Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Josh Turek
58%YesNo
Zach Wahls
41%YesNo
Nathan Sage
3%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Elon Bull Run Parlay
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Stefany Shaheen
61%YesNo
Maura Sullivan
27%YesNo
Carleigh Beriont
11%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
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ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Joe Baldacci
41%YesNo
Matthew Dunlap
26%YesNo
Jordan Wood
23%YesNo
Jared Golden
1%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
3.0%+
28%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$40 trillion
93%YesNo
$42 trillion
10%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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NE-02 Republican Primary Winner
Dan Frei
4%YesNo
Brett Lindstrom
2%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Chris Pappas
92%YesNo
Karishma Manzur
7%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$8K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$8K Vol.geopolitics
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Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley B. Moody
92%YesNo
Michaelangelo Hamilton
8%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
36%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$8K Vol.politics
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Idaho Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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South Carolina Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jermaine Johnson
75%YesNo
Mullins McLeod
17%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$8K Vol.politics
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Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner
Adam Steen
30%YesNo
Zach Lahn
16%YesNo
Brad Sherman
2%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Maryland Governor Election Winner
Republican
6%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner
Pamela Evette
37%YesNo
Alan Wilson
32%YesNo
Nancy Mace
20%YesNo
Ralph Norman
14%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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New York Governor Republican Primary Winner
David Tulley
1%YesNo
Betsy McCaughey
0%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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Will $PUP receive a perp listing by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Mark Warner
93%YesNo
Jason Reynolds
4%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Vermont Governor Election Winner
Republican
78%YesNo
Democrat
20%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner
David Jolly
66%YesNo
Angie Nixon
6%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Yes
42%YesNo
No
58%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Yes
79%YesNo
No
21%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
June 30
50%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Robert Charles
57%YesNo
Jonathan Bush
24%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
32%YesNo
xAI
12%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
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South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Republican
89%YesNo
Democrat
12%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kyle Sweetser
61%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
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South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Delaware Senate Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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𝕏 Money launched by...?
April 30
62%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.5%+
14%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner
Jim Risch
95%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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2nd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page
27%YesNo
Warren Buffett
2%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Nebraska Republican Senate Primary Winner
Pete Ricketts
95%YesNo
Edward Dunn
2%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Pennsylvania Governor Republican Primary Winner
Doug Mastriano
2%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Texas Governor Election Winner
Republican
83%YesNo
Democrat
17%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Iran military action against Israel on...?
April 1
90%YesNo
April 2
89%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
Yes
42%YesNo
No
59%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
355+
36%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of March 30 2026?
↑ $530
100%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Florida Governor Election Winner
Republican
82%YesNo
Democrat
18%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
April 2
95%YesNo
April 8
86%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of April?
$420
90%YesNo
$460
56%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
Google
0%YesNo
Threads
0%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
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New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Republican
11%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Democrat
97%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Bank of Mexico Decision in May
No change
78%YesNo
Decrease
21%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
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NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner
John Cavanaugh
85%YesNo
Mark Johnston
4%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
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Arkansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Ethereum price on April 2?
2,100-2,200
19%YesNo
1,700-1,800
3%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Oregon Governor Election Winner
Republican
13%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Meta "Mango" model released by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Laura Gillen
73%YesNo
Gian Jones
1%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
20 Gwei
43%YesNo
15 Gwei
11%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kyle Freeman
5%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?
5,000-5,500
54%YesNo
6,000-6,500
5%YesNo
<5,000
2%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
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NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Brad Lander
80%YesNo
Dan Goldman
18%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Ed Markey
85%YesNo
Seth Moulton
11%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner
Allen Waters
10%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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Reserve Bank of India decision in April
No Change
96%YesNo
Increase
4%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
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Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
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Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
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Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Republican
90%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Hakeem Jeffries
94%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
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New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Republican
73%YesNo
Democrat
25%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026
1.7-2.0%
39%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
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Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by...?
March 31
3%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum price on April 3?
1,800-1,900
12%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary Winner
John E. Sununu
89%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
Kelly Ayotte
87%YesNo
Corey Lewandowski
10%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Ethereum above ___ on March 29, 4PM ET?
2,015
49%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
50%+
47%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Kansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
67%YesNo
Democrat
31%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Fed abolished before 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
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Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
18-18.5m
16%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
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Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+
44%YesNo
1.6–1.8%
29%YesNo
2.2–2.4%
26%YesNo
1.0–1.2%
22%YesNo
1.3–1.5%
21%YesNo
<1.0%
21%YesNo
1.9–2.1%
19%YesNo
2.5–2.7%
18%YesNo
2.8-3.0%
17%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
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Connecticut Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes
61%YesNo
No
40%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
No Change
54%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Colorado Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Maine Governor Election Winner
Republican
10%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
13%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
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U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Yes
61%YesNo
No
40%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
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SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin above ___ on March 29, 6PM ET?
64,600
100%YesNo
65,000
100%YesNo
65,400
100%YesNo
65,800
100%YesNo
66,200
56%YesNo
67,400
25%YesNo
67,000
25%YesNo
67,800
0%YesNo
68,200
0%YesNo
68,600
0%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
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MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley Bell
67%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Alabama Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
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Idaho Governor Election Winner
Democrat
5%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
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Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Aaron Guckian
53%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
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Israel military action against Gaza on...?
April 1
42%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
West Virginia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
6%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
25-29.9%
29%YesNo
20-24.9%
27%YesNo
30.0-34.9%
14%YesNo
35–39.9%
11%YesNo
40-44.9%
10%YesNo
<20%
6%YesNo
45%+
5%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
View details
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
April 15
84%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Cory Booker
93%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum price on April 5?
2,000-2,100
25%YesNo
1,900-2,000
23%YesNo
2,100-2,200
18%YesNo
1,800-1,900
14%YesNo
2,200-2,300
10%YesNo
1,700-1,800
6%YesNo
2,300-2,400
4%YesNo
>2,400
3%YesNo
1,600-1,700
3%YesNo
1,500-1,600
2%YesNo
<1,500
2%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
James Osyf
10%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum price on April 4?
2,000-2,100
28%YesNo
1,900-2,000
27%YesNo
2,100-2,200
20%YesNo
1,800-1,900
14%YesNo
2,200-2,300
8%YesNo
1,700-1,800
4%YesNo
2,300-2,400
3%YesNo
>2,500
2%YesNo
2,400-2,500
2%YesNo
1,600-1,700
2%YesNo
<1,600
2%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha Blackburn
89%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on March 29, 4PM ET?
65,200
100%YesNo
65,600
100%YesNo
66,000
100%YesNo
64,400
50%YesNo
64,800
50%YesNo
67,200
50%YesNo
67,600
50%YesNo
68,000
50%YesNo
66,800
0%YesNo
68,400
0%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Lamb
88%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum above ___ on March 29, 6PM ET?
1,930
100%YesNo
1,945
100%YesNo
1,960
100%YesNo
1,975
100%YesNo
1,990
99%YesNo
2,035
1%YesNo
2,020
1%YesNo
2,050
0%YesNo
2,065
0%YesNo
2,080
0%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
<0
34%YesNo
0-1%
26%YesNo
1-2%
21%YesNo
3-4%
12%YesNo
4-5%
9%YesNo
5%+
8%YesNo
2-3%
7%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on March 29, 7PM ET?
1,930
100%YesNo
1,945
100%YesNo
1,960
76%YesNo
1,990
50%YesNo
1,975
50%YesNo
2,020
0%YesNo
2,035
0%YesNo
2,050
0%YesNo
2,065
0%YesNo
2,080
0%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.5-1.0%
41%YesNo
1.0-1.5%
31%YesNo
0.0-0.5%
23%YesNo
2.0-2.5%
14%YesNo
1.5-2.0%
7%YesNo
<0.0%
4%YesNo
>2.5%
3%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Yes
46%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+
53%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Democrat
7%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.0-4.4%
34%YesNo
4.5%+
31%YesNo
2.5–2.9%
26%YesNo
2.0–2.4%
26%YesNo
1.5–1.9%
20%YesNo
3.5–3.9%
14%YesNo
1.0–1.4%
10%YesNo
<1.0%
7%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0-5.0%
20%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
April 15
85%YesNo
April 7
55%YesNo
March 31
15%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Connor Burbridge
11%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Meta (META) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?
$530-$540
23%YesNo
$540-$550
21%YesNo
$550-$560
17%YesNo
$520-$530
16%YesNo
$510-$520
12%YesNo
<$500
11%YesNo
$500-$510
11%YesNo
$580-$590
11%YesNo
$560-$570
11%YesNo
>$590
10%YesNo
$570-$580
8%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 30 above___?
$500
97%YesNo
$490
92%YesNo
$510
89%YesNo
$520
85%YesNo
$530
68%YesNo
$540
50%YesNo
$550
33%YesNo
$560
22%YesNo
$570
14%YesNo
$580
13%YesNo
$590
10%YesNo
$600
7%YesNo
$610
7%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Yes
55%YesNo
No
46%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Reilly Neill
79%YesNo
Kathleen McLaughlin
8%YesNo
Michael BlackWolf
8%YesNo
Michael Hummert
7%YesNo
Alani Bankhead
5%YesNo
$982 Vol.elections
View details
Virginia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$919 Vol.elections
View details
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena Foulkes
74%YesNo
Dan McKee
16%YesNo
Gregory Stevens
1%YesNo
Joe Shekarchi
0%YesNo
$824 Vol.elections
View details
Oregon Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$821 Vol.elections
View details
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
45%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$809 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7AM ET
Yes
52%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$799 Vol.tech
View details
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$766 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Russia decision in June?
Decrease
71%YesNo
No Change
29%YesNo
Increase
5%YesNo
$748 Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit by April 30?
↑ 60
51%YesNo
↓ 50
51%YesNo
↑ 70
50%YesNo
↑ 80
40%YesNo
↑ 90
34%YesNo
↓ 40
27%YesNo
↓ 30
17%YesNo
$714 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on March 29, 5PM ET?
64,400
100%YesNo
65,200
100%YesNo
65,600
100%YesNo
66,000
100%YesNo
64,800
75%YesNo
66,800
50%YesNo
67,200
0%YesNo
67,600
0%YesNo
68,000
0%YesNo
68,400
0%YesNo
$659 Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$608 Vol.tech
View details
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$598 Vol.tech
View details
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm
43%YesNo
190-200mm
43%YesNo
150-160mm
42%YesNo
180-190
42%YesNo
140-150mm
42%YesNo
130-140mm
41%YesNo
190mm+
14%YesNo
160-170mm
11%YesNo
$511 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$488 Vol.politics
View details
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
April 9
43%YesNo
April 8
42%YesNo
April 10
38%YesNo
April 7
34%YesNo
April 5
24%YesNo
April 6
22%YesNo
April 4
19%YesNo
April 1
9%YesNo
April 2
9%YesNo
April 3
6%YesNo
$455 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Main Street Sports Sale/Merger by…?
March 31
48%YesNo
$441 Vol.politics
View details
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
Yes
61%YesNo
No
39%YesNo
$414 Vol.politics
View details
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
December 31
40%YesNo
June 30
9%YesNo
$365 Vol.tech
View details
Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?
5,500-6,000
47%YesNo
6,500-7,000
38%YesNo
6,000-6,500
38%YesNo
7,500-8,000
33%YesNo
7,000-7,500
33%YesNo
5,000-5,500
33%YesNo
>8,000
29%YesNo
<5,000
13%YesNo
$350 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$301 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
1%YesNo
$278 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Yes
52%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$213 Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) closes above ___ on March 31?
$510
93%YesNo
$520
91%YesNo
$530
90%YesNo
$540
49%YesNo
$550
31%YesNo
$208 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$202 Vol.tech
View details
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
76%YesNo
30%+
72%YesNo
40%+
59%YesNo
50%+
27%YesNo
$119 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on March 31?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$92 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$88 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$73 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$69 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$69 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$63 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$63 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$61 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$59 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$59 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$59 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$50 Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 31?
Yes
80%YesNo
No
20%YesNo
$43 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Yes
54%YesNo
No
47%YesNo
$40 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$40 Vol.tech
View details
Elon Musk Net Worth on April 30?
<600b
30%YesNo
630-640b
30%YesNo
660-670b
30%YesNo
620-630b
30%YesNo
650-660b
30%YesNo
600-610b
30%YesNo
640-650b
30%YesNo
610-620b
30%YesNo
670b+
29%YesNo
$39 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on March 29, 5PM ET?
1,920
100%YesNo
1,935
100%YesNo
1,965
100%YesNo
1,980
100%YesNo
1,950
75%YesNo
2,010
50%YesNo
2,025
50%YesNo
2,070
50%YesNo
2,040
0%YesNo
2,055
0%YesNo
$39 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$36 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$29 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$28 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$22 Vol.tech
View details
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
9-11
39%YesNo
6-8
37%YesNo
12+
35%YesNo
3-5
33%YesNo
0-2
17%YesNo
$17 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Colorado Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Illinois Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner
Tommy Tuberville
93%YesNo
Ken McFeeters
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Erin Stewart
52%YesNo
Ryan Fazio
33%YesNo
Betsy McCaughey
14%YesNo
Harry Arora
10%YesNo
Timothy Wilcox
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Yes
44%YesNo
No
56%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in July?
No Change
50%YesNo
Decrease
47%YesNo
Increase
46%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
42%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
55%YesNo
No
46%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
Yes
82%YesNo
No
19%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on March 31?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 9PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 1AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 2AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 3AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 5AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on April 1?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details